OPEC+ Oil Production Rises in October, Nearing Pre-Iran War Rates
Published . Updated .
Key takeaways
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Get these market calls by email
The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.
Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.
OPEC+ crude oil production jumped in October, led by a sharp increase in output from Saudi Arabia despite continued disruption to…
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- KSA iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF-7.7% 30d
iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF holds stocks listed in Saudi Arabia, which this story is about (“saudi”).
- CEW WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy Fund
WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy Fund holds emerging-market currencies, which move on news like this from Saudi Arabia.
- EMB iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF+0.3% 6d
iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF holds emerging-market government bonds, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Saudi Arabia
- EMLC VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF-2.0% 30d
VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF holds emerging-market bonds in local currencies, which move with rate and currency news like this from Saudi Arabia.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | +2.78% | +4.95% | base | +0.08% | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | +2.11% | -0.95% | base | +1.59% | after close | after close | after close |
| ITA | -2.04% | -4.68% | base | +1.19% | after close | after close | after close |
| BWET | +35.67% | +29.19% | base | +4.90% | after close | after close | after close |
| KSANo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CEWNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EMBNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EMLCNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
OPEC+ Oil Production Rises in October, Nearing Pre-Iran War Rates MarineLink
Source: MarineLink
United States Oil Fund (USO) compared with energy stocks (XLE) since 11 Nov 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) | that day | +4.90% | final price |
| Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) | three days earlier | +29.19% | final price |
| Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) | five days earlier | +35.67% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | that day | +1.19% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | three days earlier | -4.68% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | five days earlier | -2.04% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | that day | +0.08% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | +4.95% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +2.78% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | that day | +1.59% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | -0.95% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | +2.11% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 28 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 72 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 28 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 49 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Occidental Petroleum (OXY), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 82 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 77 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 79 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 82 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)
The side that tends to collect
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “OPEC+ Oil Production Rises in October, Nearing Pre-Iran War Rates.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “OPEC+ Oil Production Rises in October, Nearing Pre-Iran War Rates.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- OXY Occidental Petroleum
For “OPEC+ Oil Production Rises in October, Nearing Pre-Iran War Rates,” Occidental Petroleum (OXY) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
No up or down call on file
- USO United States Oil Fund
For “OPEC+ Oil Production Rises in October, Nearing Pre-Iran War Rates,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
In “OPEC+ Oil Production Rises in October, Nearing Pre-Iran War Rates,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “OPEC+ Oil Production Rises in October, Nearing Pre-Iran War Rates.” Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story
- BWET Amplify Commodity Trust
For “OPEC+ Oil Production Rises in October, Nearing Pre-Iran War Rates,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story
How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)
United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “OPEC+ Oil Production Rises in October, Nearing Pre-Iran War Rates,” the 11 Nov 2026 Energy story.
The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)
ITA traded between 197.59 and 218.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 216.38. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.
The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100
“OPEC+ Oil Production Rises in October, Nearing Pre-Iran War Rates” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.