Oxford Economics sees Bank of Canada hikes arriving a year early
Published . Updated .
Oil-driven inflation, a weakening job market and fragile housing complicate brokers’ rate outlook
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+8.2% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+7.4% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR-1.3% 30d
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR: it holds property and homebuilding stocks. Linked by “housing” (real estate) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF+64.8% 18d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- EWC iShares MSCI Canada ETF+0.2% 30d
iShares MSCI Canada ETF holds stocks listed in Canada, which this story is about (“canada”).
- BWX SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF
SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Canada
- EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF-2.2% 11d
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes Canada
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+11.0% 11d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USONo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XLENo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XLRENo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BWETNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EWCNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BWXNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EFANo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOMNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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Oxford Economics sees Bank of Canada hikes arriving a year early www.mpamag.com
Source: www.mpamag.com
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman sold Ishares Tr (EFA) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 87 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Sheri Biggs bought Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) (held by a spouse), worth $500,001 - $1,000,000 on 1 Sep 2026. That is 55 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Sheri Biggs sold Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) (held by a spouse), worth $500,001 - $1,000,000 on 19 Aug 2026. That is 68 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Msci Canada Etf (EWC)
Companies carried with this story
- EWC Ishares Msci Canada Etf
Ishares Msci Canada Etf (EWC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Oxford Economics sees Bank of Canada hikes arriving a year early.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI Canada ETF holds stocks listed in Canada, which this story is about (“canada”)
- BWX Spdr Series Trust
For “Oxford Economics sees Bank of Canada hikes arriving a year early,” Spdr Series Trust (BWX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Canada
- EFA Ishares Tr
For “Oxford Economics sees Bank of Canada hikes arriving a year early,” Ishares Tr (EFA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI EAFE ETF is a broad fund of developed-market stocks that includes Canada
- RY Royal Bank Of Canada
Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Oxford Economics sees Bank of Canada hikes arriving a year early.” Reason on file: Royal Bank of Canada (commercial banks) is one of the largest Canada-based companies traded in the US, so news about Canada (“canada”) reaches its shares
- BNS Bank Of Nova Scotia
In “Oxford Economics sees Bank of Canada hikes arriving a year early,” Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Bank of Nova Scotia (state commercial banks) is one of the largest Canada-based companies traded in the US, so news about Canada (“canada”) reaches its shares
- ENB Enbridge
In “Oxford Economics sees Bank of Canada hikes arriving a year early,” Enbridge (ENB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Enbridge (pipe lines (no natural gas)) is one of the largest Canada-based companies traded in the US, so news about Canada (“canada”) reaches its shares
- SU Suncor Energy
In “Oxford Economics sees Bank of Canada hikes arriving a year early,” Suncor Energy (SU) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Suncor Energy (petroleum refining) is one of the largest Canada-based companies traded in the US, so news about Canada (“canada”) reaches its shares
Ishares Msci Canada Etf (EWC)
Ishares Msci Canada Etf (EWC) is the company in “Oxford Economics sees Bank of Canada hikes arriving a year early,” the 26 Oct 2026 this story story.
What ties Ishares Msci Canada Etf (EWC) to the headline is this: iShares MSCI Canada ETF holds stocks listed in Canada, which this story is about (“canada”)
Also listed, Spdr Series Trust (BWX): SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF holds government bonds outside the US, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Canada
Dates in the story, and the Ishares Msci Canada Etf (EWC) price range
EFA traded between 102.00 and 106.44 across 11 sessions. The latest close on file is 103.46. EWC traded between 57.74 and 61.45 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 60.63.
A simple score for Ishares Msci Canada Etf (EWC)
46 out of 100
“Oxford Economics sees Bank of Canada hikes arriving a year early” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 7 linked companies.