Persian Gulf oil exports surpass pre-war high as market adapts to Iran’s attacks
Published . Updated .
This report is about oil and defense. Names like XOM typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+7.3% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.2% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-2.9% 30d
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF+25.1% 18d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “gulf” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.3% 14d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+8.4% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- COP ConocoPhillips+7.7% 30d
ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- SHEL Shell+0.1% 13d
Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | -1.53% | +0.69% | base | +1.72% | +6.10% | +4.44% | +2.22% |
| XLE | -2.35% | -0.51% | base | -0.84% | +1.70% | +2.02% | +0.18% |
| ITANo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BWETNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOM | -1.88% | +0.08% | base | +0.06% | +2.88% | +3.31% | +1.19% |
| CVXNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| COPNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SHELNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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Persian Gulf oil exports surpass pre-war high as market adapts to Iran’s attacks New York Post
Source: New York Post
Persian Gulf
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| USO | that day | +1.72% | final price |
| USO | the next day | +6.10% | final price |
| USO | two days later | +4.44% | final price |
| USO | three days later | +2.22% | final price |
| USO | three days earlier | +0.69% | final price |
| USO | five days earlier | -1.53% | final price |
| XLE | that day | -0.84% | final price |
| XLE | the next day | +1.70% | final price |
| XLE | two days later | +2.02% | final price |
| XLE | three days later | +0.18% | final price |
| XLE | three days earlier | -0.51% | final price |
| XLE | five days earlier | -2.35% | final price |
| XOM | that day | +0.06% | final price |
| XOM | the next day | +2.88% | final price |
| XOM | two days later | +3.31% | final price |
| XOM | three days later | +1.19% | final price |
| XOM | three days earlier | +0.08% | final price |
| XOM | five days earlier | -1.88% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 51 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 82 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Jul 2026. That is 89 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 28 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 49 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 58 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 61 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
How busy Persian Gulf has been lately
Geopolitics Alpha has 13 stories about Persian Gulf from the past 7 days and 41 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “Persian Gulf oil exports surpass pre-war high as market adapts to Iran’s attacks” is tagged to Persian Gulf.
How solid the energy case looks
12 out of 100
“Persian Gulf oil exports surpass pre-war high as market adapts to Iran’s attacks” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.