Peter Pan Tariffs for Companies That Never Grow Up
Published . Updated .
These industries have refused to grow up, and it's time to stop pretending that tariffs will fix that.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+4.9%
Energy prices move when sanctioned supply is blocked
- USO United States Oil Fund+0.9%
This fund moves with oil prices
- XOM Exxon Mobil+7.9%
Oil producers move when sanctioned barrels leave the market
- CVX Chevron+6.6%
Oil producers move when sanctioned barrels leave the market
- AAPL Apple+5.3%
Sales and supply chains are exposed to a new tariff
- NKE Nike+1.2%
Sales and supply chains are exposed to a new tariff
- SLB SLB-4.1%
Oilfield work in sanctioned regions can be cut off
- GLD SPDR Gold Shares-3.3%
Gold is a usual haven when a conflict or sanction escalates
- LMT Lockheed Martin+4.2%
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- SPY SPDR S&P 500+1.6%
The broad market moves when a major sanction lands
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLE | +0.97% | +0.55% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| USO | -0.46% | -1.11% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | +0.46% | -0.17% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | -0.70% | -0.41% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| AAPL | -1.42% | -2.49% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| NKE | -3.09% | -1.10% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| SLB | -0.14% | +0.83% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| GLD | +3.51% | +2.33% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| LMT | -6.43% | -7.02% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| SPY | -0.09% | +0.66% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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Peter Pan Tariffs for Companies That Never Grow Up Reason Magazine
Source: Reason Magazine
This story
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | three days earlier | -2.49% | final price |
| AAPL | five days earlier | -1.42% | final price |
| CVX | three days earlier | -0.41% | final price |
| CVX | five days earlier | -0.70% | final price |
| GLD | three days earlier | +2.33% | final price |
| GLD | five days earlier | +3.51% | final price |
| LMT | three days earlier | -7.02% | final price |
| LMT | five days earlier | -6.43% | final price |
| NKE | three days earlier | -1.10% | final price |
| NKE | five days earlier | -3.09% | final price |
| SLB | three days earlier | +0.83% | final price |
| SLB | five days earlier | -0.14% | final price |
| SPY | three days earlier | +0.66% | final price |
| SPY | five days earlier | -0.09% | final price |
| USO | three days earlier | -1.11% | final price |
| USO | five days earlier | -0.46% | final price |
| XLE | three days earlier | +0.55% | final price |
| XLE | five days earlier | +0.97% | final price |
| XOM | three days earlier | -0.17% | final price |
| XOM | five days earlier | +0.46% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 52 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 83 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 29 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 50 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 83 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Apple (AAPL) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 22 Sep 2026. That is 30 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Cleo Fields bought Apple (AAPL), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 8 Sep 2026. That is 44 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Apple (AAPL) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 8 Sep 2026. That is 44 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Nike (NKE), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 28 Aug 2026. That is 55 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros sold Nike (NKE), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 10 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Nike (NKE), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 13 Aug 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 1 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 29 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
How solid “Peter Pan Tariffs for Companies That Never Grow Up” looks
12 out of 100
“Peter Pan Tariffs for Companies That Never Grow Up” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.