Geopolitics Alpha

Petrobras Earnings Disappoint Despite Oil, Refining Tailwinds

Published . Updated .

Covered by 2 outlets: Energy Connects, Bloomberg.

Who covered it: Center 1 · Not rated 1. How we rate outlets

Key takeaways

  • Brazil’s state-controlled oil producer earnings missed estimates in the third-quarter despite record oil and gas production and a favorable backdrop of high
  • Exposed: USO, XLE, CRAK, BWET, EWZ
  • Market reaction: USO +2.4% on the day (still updating); XLE +1.6% on the day (still updating); BWET +4.9% on the day (still updating)

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Get these market calls by email

The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.

Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.

Petrobras Earnings Disappoint Despite Oil, Refining Tailwinds

Brazil’s state-controlled oil producer earnings missed estimates in the third-quarter despite record oil and gas production and a favorable backdrop of high

Directly affected

  • PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

    VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story.

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund

    United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “gas” (natural gas) in this story.

  • EWZ iShares MSCI Brazil ETF

    iShares MSCI Brazil ETF holds stocks listed in Brazil, which this story is about (“petrobras”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
PBR+7.39%+1.42%base-0.99%after closeafter closeafter close
USO+2.78%+4.95%base+2.37%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+2.11%-0.95%base+1.57%after closeafter closeafter close
CRAK+4.45%-1.14%base+1.90%after closeafter closeafter close
UNG-10.81%-10.24%base+1.15%after closeafter closeafter close
EWZ+0.37%-0.44%base+1.06%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+3.07%+0.89%base+1.25%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+2.73%+0.67%base+0.78%after closeafter closeafter close
COP+0.96%+0.52%base+1.36%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Petrobras Earnings Disappoint Despite Oil, Refining Tailwinds Energy Connects

Source: Energy Connects

The price since 10 Nov 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
COPthat day+1.36%still updating
COPthree days earlier+0.52%final price
COPfive days earlier+0.96%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)that day+1.90%still updating
Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)three days earlier-1.14%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)five days earlier+4.45%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day+0.78%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+0.67%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+2.73%final price
Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ)that day+1.06%still updating
Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ)three days earlier-0.44%final price
Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ)five days earlier+0.37%final price
PBRthat day-0.99%still updating
PBRthree days earlier+1.42%final price
PBRfive days earlier+7.39%final price
UNGthat day+1.15%still updating
UNGthree days earlier-10.24%final price
UNGfive days earlier-10.81%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+2.37%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+4.95%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+2.78%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+1.57%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-0.95%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+2.11%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day+1.25%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+0.89%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+3.07%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who collects and who pays in energy

Companies tied to this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “Petrobras Earnings Disappoint Despite Oil, Refining Tailwinds.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Petrobras Earnings Disappoint Despite Oil, Refining Tailwinds,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CRAK Vaneck Etf Trust

    In “Petrobras Earnings Disappoint Despite Oil, Refining Tailwinds,” Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    For “Petrobras Earnings Disappoint Despite Oil, Refining Tailwinds,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • EWZ Ishares Msci Brazil Etf

    In “Petrobras Earnings Disappoint Despite Oil, Refining Tailwinds,” Ishares Msci Brazil Etf (EWZ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Brazil ETF holds stocks listed in Brazil, which this story is about (“petrobras”)

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    For “Petrobras Earnings Disappoint Despite Oil, Refining Tailwinds,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    In “Petrobras Earnings Disappoint Despite Oil, Refining Tailwinds,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • VLO Valero Energy

    Valero Energy (VLO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “Petrobras Earnings Disappoint Despite Oil, Refining Tailwinds.” Reason on file: Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

On 10 Nov 2026, “Petrobras Earnings Disappoint Despite Oil, Refining Tailwinds” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Energy.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates and price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

The energy score for United States Oil Fund (USO)

54 out of 100Price not final

“Petrobras Earnings Disappoint Despite Oil, Refining Tailwinds” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.