Philippine exporters project merchandise shipments to reach $108 billion as U.S. tariff risk persists
Published . Updated .
Key takeaways
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Get these market calls by email
The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.
Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.
This report is about tariffs and trade and the Philippines.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR
Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF
SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- EPHE iShares MSCI Philippines ETF
iShares MSCI Philippines ETF holds stocks listed in the Philippines, which this story is about (“philippine”).
- CAT Caterpillar
Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- DE Deere
Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- WMT Walmart
Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- NKE Nike
Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLI | +4.34% | +4.15% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XRT | +1.17% | +4.73% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| EPHE | -2.40% | -0.37% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CAT | +9.84% | +5.82% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| DE | -0.85% | +0.44% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| WMT | +1.78% | +2.99% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| NKE | +1.40% | +4.92% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Philippine exporters project merchandise shipments to reach $108 billion as U.S. tariff risk persists Traders Union
Source: Traders Union
Price since this story was published: Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar (CAT) | three days earlier | +5.82% | final price |
| Caterpillar (CAT) | five days earlier | +9.84% | final price |
| Deere (DE) | three days earlier | +0.44% | final price |
| Deere (DE) | five days earlier | -0.85% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (EPHE) | three days earlier | -0.37% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (EPHE) | five days earlier | -2.40% | final price |
| Nike (NKE) | three days earlier | +4.92% | final price |
| Nike (NKE) | five days earlier | +1.40% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | three days earlier | +2.99% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | five days earlier | +1.78% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) | three days earlier | +4.15% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) | five days earlier | +4.34% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XRT) | three days earlier | +4.73% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XRT) | five days earlier | +1.17% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Lisa McClain bought Caterpillar (CAT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 37 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 41 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 44 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Nike (NKE), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 28 Aug 2026. That is 72 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros sold Nike (NKE), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 73 days before publication. Filed 10 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Nike (NKE), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 79 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
Companies tied to this story
- XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “Philippine exporters project merchandise shipments to reach $108 billion as U.S. tariff risk persists,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- XRT Spdr Series Trust
For “Philippine exporters project merchandise shipments to reach $108 billion as U.S. tariff risk persists,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- EPHE Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (EPHE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 8 Nov 2026 story “Philippine exporters project merchandise shipments to reach $108 billion as U.S. tariff risk persists.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI Philippines ETF holds stocks listed in the Philippines, which this story is about (“philippine”)
- CAT Caterpillar
For “Philippine exporters project merchandise shipments to reach $108 billion as U.S. tariff risk persists,” Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- DE Deere
For “Philippine exporters project merchandise shipments to reach $108 billion as U.S. tariff risk persists,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- WMT Walmart
In “Philippine exporters project merchandise shipments to reach $108 billion as U.S. tariff risk persists,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- NKE Nike
In “Philippine exporters project merchandise shipments to reach $108 billion as U.S. tariff risk persists,” Nike (NKE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
On 8 Nov 2026, “Philippine exporters project merchandise shipments to reach $108 billion as U.S. tariff risk persists” is the story that connects Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to this story.
What ties Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to the headline is this: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is here too. Its reason reads: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
Dates and price levels for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.
How strong the case is around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
46 out of 100
“Philippine exporters project merchandise shipments to reach $108 billion as U.S. tariff risk persists” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 7 linked companies.