Geopolitics Alpha

Poland’s Orlen Terminates LNG Supply Deal with Qatar Amid War

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: UNG, XLE, ITA, USO, EPOL
  • Market reaction: XLE +1.6% on the day (still updating); UNG +1.1% on the day (still updating); LNG +2.4% on the day (still updating)

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ENERGYPoland’s Orlen Terminates LNGSupply Deal with Qatar Amid WarGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about natural gas and defense.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund

    United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “lng” (oil) in this story.

  • EPOL iShares MSCI Poland ETF

    iShares MSCI Poland ETF holds stocks listed in Poland, which this story is about (“poland”).

  • QAT iShares MSCI Qatar ETF

    iShares MSCI Qatar ETF holds stocks listed in Qatar, which this story is about (“qatar”).

  • LNG Cheniere Energy

    Cheniere Energy (natural gas distribution): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

  • EQT Eqt

    Eqt (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
UNG-10.81%-10.24%base+1.15%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+2.11%-0.95%base+1.57%after closeafter closeafter close
ITA-2.04%-4.68%base+0.51%after closeafter closeafter close
USO+2.78%+4.95%base+2.37%after closeafter closeafter close
EPOL+0.69%-2.17%base-0.77%after closeafter closeafter close
QAT-2.38%-1.87%base+0.00%after closeafter closeafter close
LNG-0.51%-5.27%base+2.39%after closeafter closeafter close
EQT+0.99%-5.04%base+1.73%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Poland’s Orlen Terminates LNG Supply Deal with Qatar Amid War Bloomberg.com

Source: Bloomberg

The price since 11 Nov 2026: United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Ishares Tr (EPOL)that day-0.77%still updating
Ishares Tr (EPOL)three days earlier-2.17%final price
Ishares Tr (EPOL)five days earlier+0.69%final price
Eqt (EQT)that day+1.73%still updating
Eqt (EQT)three days earlier-5.04%final price
Eqt (EQT)five days earlier+0.99%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)that day+0.51%still updating
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-4.68%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-2.04%final price
Cheniere Energy (LNG)that day+2.39%still updating
Cheniere Energy (LNG)three days earlier-5.27%final price
Cheniere Energy (LNG)five days earlier-0.51%final price
Ishares Tr (QAT)that day0.00%still updating
Ishares Tr (QAT)three days earlier-1.87%final price
Ishares Tr (QAT)five days earlier-2.38%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)that day+1.15%still updating
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)three days earlier-10.24%final price
United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)five days earlier-10.81%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+2.37%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+4.95%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+2.78%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+1.57%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-0.95%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+2.11%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund

    In “Poland’s Orlen Terminates LNG Supply Deal with Qatar Amid War,” United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “Poland’s Orlen Terminates LNG Supply Deal with Qatar Amid War.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    For “Poland’s Orlen Terminates LNG Supply Deal with Qatar Amid War,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Poland’s Orlen Terminates LNG Supply Deal with Qatar Amid War,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “lng” (oil) in this story

  • EPOL Ishares Tr

    In “Poland’s Orlen Terminates LNG Supply Deal with Qatar Amid War,” Ishares Tr (EPOL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Poland ETF holds stocks listed in Poland, which this story is about (“poland”)

  • QAT Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (QAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “Poland’s Orlen Terminates LNG Supply Deal with Qatar Amid War.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI Qatar ETF holds stocks listed in Qatar, which this story is about (“qatar”)

  • LNG Cheniere Energy

    In “Poland’s Orlen Terminates LNG Supply Deal with Qatar Amid War,” Cheniere Energy (LNG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Cheniere Energy (natural gas distribution): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

  • EQT Eqt

    In “Poland’s Orlen Terminates LNG Supply Deal with Qatar Amid War,” Eqt (EQT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Eqt (crude petroleum and natural gas): gas producers and exporters earn more when gas prices rise. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) and the energy link

“Poland’s Orlen Terminates LNG Supply Deal with Qatar Amid War” (11 Nov 2026) reaches United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) through Energy.

United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is on the page because United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “lng” (natural gas) in this story

Price levels for United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)

ITA traded between 197.59 and 218.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 216.38. UNG traded between 8.95 and 11.43 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 9.34. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

The energy score for United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG)

54 out of 100Price not final

“Poland’s Orlen Terminates LNG Supply Deal with Qatar Amid War” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.