President Donald Trump Just Proclaimed, "Tariffs Don't Cause Inflation, They Cause Wealth," but Data From Federal Reserve Economists Show Otherwise
Published . Updated .
Statistically speaking, tariffs have been bad news for Wall Street and consumers.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+7.4%
Energy prices move when sanctioned supply is blocked
- USO United States Oil Fund+8.2%
This fund moves with oil prices
- XOM Exxon Mobil+11.0%
Oil producers move when sanctioned barrels leave the market
- CVX Chevron+9.9%
Oil producers move when sanctioned barrels leave the market
- AAPL Apple+4.4%
Sales and supply chains are exposed to a new tariff
- NKE Nike+0.7%
Sales and supply chains are exposed to a new tariff
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond-1.8%
Long-term bonds move when yields change
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond-0.9%
Treasury bonds move when yields change
- SLB SLB-0.5%
Oilfield work in sanctioned regions can be cut off
- GLD SPDR Gold Shares-3.3%
Gold is a usual haven when a conflict or sanction escalates
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLE | -2.19% | -1.69% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| USO | -5.13% | -5.78% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | -2.72% | -2.80% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | -3.75% | -2.77% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| AAPLNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NKENo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TLT | -2.31% | -1.35% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | -1.06% | -0.90% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| SLB | -7.45% | -3.68% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| GLD | +3.56% | +3.37% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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President Donald Trump Just Proclaimed, "Tariffs Don't Cause Inflation, They Cause Wealth," but Data From Federal Reserve Economists Show Otherwise The Motley Fool
Source: The Motley Fool
This story
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| BA | three days earlier | +2.12% | final price |
| BA | five days earlier | +1.64% | final price |
| CVX | three days earlier | -2.77% | final price |
| CVX | five days earlier | -3.75% | final price |
| GD | three days earlier | -1.30% | final price |
| GD | five days earlier | -2.30% | final price |
| GLD | three days earlier | +3.37% | final price |
| GLD | five days earlier | +3.56% | final price |
| IEF | three days earlier | -0.90% | final price |
| IEF | five days earlier | -1.06% | final price |
| ITA | three days earlier | +1.68% | final price |
| ITA | five days earlier | +2.64% | final price |
| LMT | three days earlier | -8.71% | final price |
| LMT | five days earlier | -9.31% | final price |
| NOC | three days earlier | -2.17% | final price |
| NOC | five days earlier | -7.45% | final price |
| RTX | three days earlier | +0.33% | final price |
| RTX | five days earlier | +0.57% | final price |
| SLB | three days earlier | -3.68% | final price |
| SLB | five days earlier | -7.45% | final price |
| SPY | three days earlier | +1.75% | final price |
| SPY | five days earlier | +0.89% | final price |
| TLT | three days earlier | -1.35% | final price |
| TLT | five days earlier | -2.31% | final price |
| USO | three days earlier | -5.78% | final price |
| USO | five days earlier | -5.13% | final price |
| XLE | three days earlier | -1.69% | final price |
| XLE | five days earlier | -2.19% | final price |
| XOM | three days earlier | -2.80% | final price |
| XOM | five days earlier | -2.72% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 55 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 86 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 32 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 53 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 86 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Apple (AAPL) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 22 Sep 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Apple (AAPL) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 8 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Cleo Fields bought Apple (AAPL), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 8 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Nike (NKE), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 28 Aug 2026. That is 58 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros sold Nike (NKE), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 59 days before publication. Filed 10 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Nike (NKE), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 13 Aug 2026. That is 73 days before publication. Filed 1 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. John Boozman bought IEF (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 46 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
This story
12 out of 100
“President Donald Trump Just Proclaimed, "Tariffs Don't Cause Inflation, They Cause Wealth," but Data From Federal Reserve Economists Show Otherwise” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.