Geopolitics Alpha

President Trump’s Steel and Aluminum Tariffs: 1.0 vs. 2.0

Published . Updated .

GEOPOLITICS ALPHAPresident Trump’s Steel andAluminum Tariffs: 1.0 vs. 2.0GEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about tariffs and trade and metals & mining.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.4% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • PICK iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF-7.0% 30d

    iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF: it holds metals and mining companies. Linked by “aluminum” (metals & mining) in this story.

  • SLX VanEck Steel ETF-2.9% 17d

    VanEck Steel ETF: it holds steelmakers. Linked by “steel” (steel) in this story.

  • CAT Caterpillar-8.9% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • DE Deere-5.6% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+11.0% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • NKE Nike+4.9% 30d

    Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLINo price data for this ticker———————
XRTNo price data for this ticker———————
PICKNo price data for this ticker———————
SLXNo price data for this ticker———————
CATNo price data for this ticker———————
DENo price data for this ticker———————
WMTNo price data for this ticker———————
NKE-0.07%-0.61%base-0.07%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

President Trump’s Steel and Aluminum Tariffs: 1.0 vs. 2.0 The American Action Forum

Source: The American Action Forum

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Nike (NKE)that day-0.07%still updating
Nike (NKE)three days earlier-0.61%final price
Nike (NKE)five days earlier-0.07%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Companies carried with this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “President Trump’s Steel and Aluminum Tariffs: 1.0 vs. 2.0,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    In “President Trump’s Steel and Aluminum Tariffs: 1.0 vs. 2.0,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • PICK Ishares Msci Global Metals & Mining

    In “President Trump’s Steel and Aluminum Tariffs: 1.0 vs. 2.0,” Ishares Msci Global Metals & Mining (PICK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF: it holds metals and mining companies. Linked by “aluminum” (metals & mining) in this story

  • SLX Vaneck Etf Trust

    Vaneck Etf Trust (SLX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 28 Oct 2026 story “President Trump’s Steel and Aluminum Tariffs: 1.0 vs. 2.0.” Reason on file: VanEck Steel ETF: it holds steelmakers. Linked by “steel” (steel) in this story

  • CAT Caterpillar

    In “President Trump’s Steel and Aluminum Tariffs: 1.0 vs. 2.0,” Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    In “President Trump’s Steel and Aluminum Tariffs: 1.0 vs. 2.0,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    In “President Trump’s Steel and Aluminum Tariffs: 1.0 vs. 2.0,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • NKE Nike

    For “President Trump’s Steel and Aluminum Tariffs: 1.0 vs. 2.0,” Nike (NKE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

How “President Trump’s Steel and Aluminum Tariffs: 1.0 vs. 2.0” reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

On 28 Oct 2026, “President Trump’s Steel and Aluminum Tariffs: 1.0 vs. 2.0” is the story that connects Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to this story.

What ties Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to the headline is this: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XRT), is listed for a different reason: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Dates in the story, and the Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) price range

PICK traded between 54.38 and 61.57 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 56.72. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 167.94. XRT traded between 83.12 and 86.10 across 2 sessions. The latest close on file is 83.23.

How strong the case is around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

46 out of 100Price not final

“President Trump’s Steel and Aluminum Tariffs: 1.0 vs. 2.0” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.