Geopolitics Alpha

President Trump's tariffs have not decreased US trade deficits, German study shows

Published . Updated .

GEOPOLITICS ALPHAPresident Trump's tariffs have notdecreased US trade deficits,German study showsGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about tariffs and trade and US interest rates.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR+0.2% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • EWG iShares MSCI Germany ETF-3.5% 30d

    iShares MSCI Germany ETF holds stocks listed in Germany, which this story is about (“german”).

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase-1.7% 30d

    JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • CAT Caterpillar-20.0% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d

    Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • DE Deere-2.4% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLINo price data for this ticker———————
XRTNo price data for this ticker———————
TLTNo price data for this ticker———————
EWGNo price data for this ticker———————
JPMNo price data for this ticker———————
CATNo price data for this ticker———————
BACNo price data for this ticker———————
DENo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

President Trump's tariffs have not decreased US trade deficits, German study shows The Jerusalem Post

Source: The Jerusalem Post

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Companies tied to this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “President Trump's tariffs have not decreased US trade deficits, German study shows,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “President Trump's tariffs have not decreased US trade deficits, German study shows.” Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    In “President Trump's tariffs have not decreased US trade deficits, German study shows,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “deficit” (US interest rates) in this story

  • EWG Ishares

    For “President Trump's tariffs have not decreased US trade deficits, German study shows,” Ishares (EWG) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Germany ETF holds stocks listed in Germany, which this story is about (“german”)

  • CAT Caterpillar

    Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “President Trump's tariffs have not decreased US trade deficits, German study shows.” Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    For “President Trump's tariffs have not decreased US trade deficits, German study shows,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    For “President Trump's tariffs have not decreased US trade deficits, German study shows,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • NKE Nike

    In “President Trump's tariffs have not decreased US trade deficits, German study shows,” Nike (NKE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is the company in “President Trump's tariffs have not decreased US trade deficits, German study shows,” the 30 Oct 2026 this story story.

What ties Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to the headline is this: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XRT), is listed for a different reason: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Price levels for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

TLT traded between 76.44 and 81.94 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 170.11.

What the saved facts support for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

46 out of 100

“President Trump's tariffs have not decreased US trade deficits, German study shows” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.