Geopolitics Alpha

Qualcomm sat out the semiconductor rally. Can a SpaceX partnership change that?

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • The company is furthering its expansion outside of the handset market — by powering Starlink Mobile.
  • Exposed: SMH, SOXX, TSM, ASML, NVDA
  • Market reaction: SOXX −0.4% on the day (still updating); SMH −0.2% on the day (still updating); ASML −1.9% on the day (still updating)

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SEMICONDUCTORSQualcomm sat out the semiconductorrally. Can a SpaceX partnershipchange that?QCOMSPCXGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

The company is furthering its expansion outside of the handset market — by powering Starlink Mobile.

Directly affected

  • QCOM Qualcomm-15.4% 30d

    Named in this report.

  • SPCX Space Exploration Technologies-12.0% 19d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF-16.4% 30d

    VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • SOXX iShares Semiconductor ETF-20.8% 30d

    iShares Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing-9.5% 30d

    Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • ASML ASML Holding N.V-0.8% 16d

    ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • NVDA Nvidia-8.4% 30d

    Nvidia (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • AVGO Broadcom-6.5% 30d

    Broadcom (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
QCOM+11.27%+0.19%base+4.62%after closeafter closeafter close
SPCX+2.74%-4.71%base-0.99%after closeafter closeafter close
SMH+9.58%+0.86%base-0.21%after closeafter closeafter close
SOXX+12.28%+1.42%base-0.36%after closeafter closeafter close
TSM+8.61%+0.30%base+0.33%after closeafter closeafter close
ASML+7.25%+0.88%base-1.87%after closeafter closeafter close
NVDA+4.25%-0.87%base-1.66%after closeafter closeafter close
AVGO+5.97%-1.78%base+0.20%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

The company is furthering its expansion outside of the handset market — by powering Starlink Mobile.

Source: MarketWatch

Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) compared with technology stocks (XLK) since 4 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Asml Holding (ASML)that day-1.87%still updating
Asml Holding (ASML)three days earlier+0.88%final price
Asml Holding (ASML)five days earlier+7.25%final price
Broadcom (AVGO)that day+0.20%still updating
Broadcom (AVGO)three days earlier-1.78%final price
Broadcom (AVGO)five days earlier+5.97%final price
Nvidia (NVDA)that day-1.66%still updating
Nvidia (NVDA)three days earlier-0.87%final price
Nvidia (NVDA)five days earlier+4.25%final price
QCOMthat day+4.62%still updating
QCOMthree days earlier+0.19%final price
QCOMfive days earlier+11.27%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)that day-0.21%still updating
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)three days earlier+0.86%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)five days earlier+9.58%final price
Ishares Tr (SOXX)that day-0.36%still updating
Ishares Tr (SOXX)three days earlier+1.42%final price
Ishares Tr (SOXX)five days earlier+12.28%final price
SPCXthat day-0.99%still updating
SPCXthree days earlier-4.71%final price
SPCXfive days earlier+2.74%final price
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM)that day+0.33%still updating
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM)three days earlier+0.30%final price
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM)five days earlier+8.61%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • SMH Vaneck Etf Trust

    In “Qualcomm sat out the semiconductor rally. Can a SpaceX partnership change that?,” Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story

  • SOXX Ishares Tr

    For “Qualcomm sat out the semiconductor rally. Can a SpaceX partnership change that?,” Ishares Tr (SOXX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story

  • TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

    Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Qualcomm sat out the semiconductor rally. Can a SpaceX partnership change that?.” Reason on file: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story

  • ASML Asml Holding

    In “Qualcomm sat out the semiconductor rally. Can a SpaceX partnership change that?,” Asml Holding (ASML) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story

  • NVDA Nvidia

    In “Qualcomm sat out the semiconductor rally. Can a SpaceX partnership change that?,” Nvidia (NVDA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nvidia (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story

  • AVGO Broadcom

    For “Qualcomm sat out the semiconductor rally. Can a SpaceX partnership change that?,” Broadcom (AVGO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Broadcom (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story

How semiconductors news reaches Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)

“Qualcomm sat out the semiconductor rally. Can a SpaceX partnership change that?” (4 Nov 2026) reaches Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) through Semiconductors.

The link for Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) is this: VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story

Also listed, Ishares Tr (SOXX): iShares Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “semiconductor” (semiconductors) in this story

The price range for Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH), and the dates in the story

SMH traded between 506.51 and 639.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 508.07. SOXX traded between 452.10 and 596.35 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 453.73. TSM traded between 398.31 and 475.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 404.76.

The semiconductors score for Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Qualcomm sat out the semiconductor rally. Can a SpaceX partnership change that?” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies. The price is not final yet.