Geopolitics Alpha

RAA: Revenue rose 6%; tariff refunds lifted EBIT, while FY margin guidance increased to 26%–27%

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • 9M revenue grew 6% to €974m and EBIT rose 12% to €261m, with earnings significantly supported by tariff refunds.
  • Exposed: XLI, XRT, CAT, DE, WMT
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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RAA: Revenue rose 6%; tariff refunds lifted EBIT, while FY margin guidance increased to 26%–27%

9M revenue grew 6% to €974m and EBIT rose 12% to €261m, with earnings significantly supported by tariff refunds. FY revenue guidance moved to the lower end of the mid- to high-single-digit range, while the EBIT margin outlook rose to 26%–27%.Original document: Rational

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.3% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • CAT Caterpillar-26.6% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • DE Deere-1.4% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+20.2% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • NKE Nike+6.7% 30d

    Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLI+0.40%+0.18%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XRT-5.03%-3.40%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CAT+9.45%+3.80%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
DE-2.37%-1.28%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
WMT-6.18%-1.18%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
NKE-5.11%-3.36%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

RAA: Revenue rose 6%; tariff refunds lifted EBIT, while FY margin guidance increased to 26%–27% TradingView

Source: TradingView

Price since this story was published: Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Caterpillar (CAT)three days earlier+3.80%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)five days earlier+9.45%final price
Deere (DE)three days earlier-1.28%final price
Deere (DE)five days earlier-2.37%final price
Nike (NKE)three days earlier-3.36%final price
Nike (NKE)five days earlier-5.11%final price
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier-1.18%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier-6.18%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)three days earlier+0.18%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)five days earlier+0.40%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)three days earlier-3.40%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)five days earlier-5.03%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Companies tied to this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “RAA: Revenue rose 6%; tariff refunds lifted EBIT, while FY margin guidance increased to 26%–27%,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “RAA: Revenue rose 6%; tariff refunds lifted EBIT, while FY margin guidance increased to 26%–27%.” Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • CAT Caterpillar

    Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “RAA: Revenue rose 6%; tariff refunds lifted EBIT, while FY margin guidance increased to 26%–27%.” Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    In “RAA: Revenue rose 6%; tariff refunds lifted EBIT, while FY margin guidance increased to 26%–27%,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 5 Nov 2026 story “RAA: Revenue rose 6%; tariff refunds lifted EBIT, while FY margin guidance increased to 26%–27%.” Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • NKE Nike

    For “RAA: Revenue rose 6%; tariff refunds lifted EBIT, while FY margin guidance increased to 26%–27%,” Nike (NKE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is the company in “RAA: Revenue rose 6%; tariff refunds lifted EBIT, while FY margin guidance increased to 26%–27%,” the 5 Nov 2026 this story story.

The link for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is this: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is here too. Its reason reads: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Price levels for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

CAT traded between 582.60 and 821.60 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 591.16. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.

A simple score for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

46 out of 100

“RAA: Revenue rose 6%; tariff refunds lifted EBIT, while FY margin guidance increased to 26%–27%” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.