Geopolitics Alpha

Rand Paul Blames Iran War, Trump’s Tariffs for GOP Losses: ‘Things Cost Too Much and People Are Strugglin

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: XLI, XRT, ITA, USO, EZA
  • Market reaction: XRT −1.7% on the day; XLI −0.6% on the day; USO +3.4% on the day

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DEFENSERand Paul Blames Iran War, Trump’sTariffs for GOP Losses: ‘ThingsCost Too Much and People Are…GEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about tariffs and trade and defense.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.4% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.2% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

  • EZA iShares MSCI South Africa ETF+1.1% 6d

    iShares MSCI South Africa ETF holds stocks listed in South Africa, which this story is about (“rand”).

  • CEW WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy Fund

    WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy Fund holds emerging-market currencies, which move on news like this from South Africa.

  • CAT Caterpillar-27.2% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • DE Deere+0.7% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLI-4.94%-1.22%base-0.56%after closeafter closeafter close
XRT-1.37%+0.47%base-1.72%after closeafter closeafter close
ITA-7.07%-2.20%base-2.16%after closeafter closeafter close
USO+4.74%+0.82%base+3.43%after closeafter closeafter close
EZA+0.16%+3.47%base-2.02%after closeafter closeafter close
CEW+0.00%+0.00%base—after closeafter closeafter close
CAT-8.01%-0.49%base+0.72%after closeafter closeafter close
DE-4.00%-0.02%base-1.79%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Rand Paul Blames Iran War, Trump’s Tariffs for GOP Losses: ‘Things Cost Too Much and People Are Strugglin Benzinga

Source: Benzinga

Price since this story was published: Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Caterpillar (CAT)that day+0.72%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)three days earlier-0.49%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)five days earlier-8.01%final price
Wisdomtree Tr (CEW)three days earlier0.00%final price
Wisdomtree Tr (CEW)five days earlier0.00%final price
Deere (DE)that day-1.79%final price
Deere (DE)three days earlier-0.02%final price
Deere (DE)five days earlier-4.00%final price
Ishares (EZA)that day-2.02%final price
Ishares (EZA)three days earlier+3.47%final price
Ishares (EZA)five days earlier+0.16%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)that day-2.16%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-2.20%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-7.07%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+3.43%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+0.82%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+4.74%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)that day-0.56%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)three days earlier-1.22%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)five days earlier-4.94%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)that day-1.72%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)three days earlier+0.47%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)five days earlier-1.37%final price

Members of Congress who traded Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) near this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) on one side of this defense story

Companies carried with this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Rand Paul Blames Iran War, Trump’s Tariffs for GOP Losses: ‘Things Cost Too Much and People Are Strugglin.” Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Rand Paul Blames Iran War, Trump’s Tariffs for GOP Losses: ‘Things Cost Too Much and People Are Strugglin.” Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    For “Rand Paul Blames Iran War, Trump’s Tariffs for GOP Losses: ‘Things Cost Too Much and People Are Strugglin,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Rand Paul Blames Iran War, Trump’s Tariffs for GOP Losses: ‘Things Cost Too Much and People Are Strugglin,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

  • EZA Ishares

    In “Rand Paul Blames Iran War, Trump’s Tariffs for GOP Losses: ‘Things Cost Too Much and People Are Strugglin,” Ishares (EZA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI South Africa ETF holds stocks listed in South Africa, which this story is about (“rand”)

  • CEW Wisdomtree Tr

    Wisdomtree Tr (CEW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Rand Paul Blames Iran War, Trump’s Tariffs for GOP Losses: ‘Things Cost Too Much and People Are Strugglin.” Reason on file: WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy Fund holds emerging-market currencies, which move on news like this from South Africa

  • CAT Caterpillar

    In “Rand Paul Blames Iran War, Trump’s Tariffs for GOP Losses: ‘Things Cost Too Much and People Are Strugglin,” Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    For “Rand Paul Blames Iran War, Trump’s Tariffs for GOP Losses: ‘Things Cost Too Much and People Are Strugglin,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

How defense news reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

“Rand Paul Blames Iran War, Trump’s Tariffs for GOP Losses: ‘Things Cost Too Much and People Are Strugglin” (12 Nov 2026) reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) through Defense.

The link for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is this: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XRT), is listed for a different reason: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

The price range for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI), and the dates in the story

ITA traded between 197.59 and 218.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 216.38. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.

A simple score for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

46 out of 100

“Rand Paul Blames Iran War, Trump’s Tariffs for GOP Losses: ‘Things Cost Too Much and People Are Strugglin” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.