Geopolitics Alpha

Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Insurance Stocks

Published . Updated .

Covered by 2 outlets: Yahoo Finance, 24/7 Wall St..

Who covered it: Center 1 · Not rated 1. How we rate outlets

Key takeaways

  • The Federal Reserve looks poised to push rates higher again, and four insurers have already been quietly rewarding investors for it through a mechanism most people overlook until the gains are already gone.
  • Exposed: TLT, IEF, XLF, JPM, BAC
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Insurance Stocks

The Federal Reserve looks poised to push rates higher again, and four insurers have already been quietly rewarding investors for it through a mechanism most people overlook until the gains are already gone.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.7% 30d

    iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR-1.6% 30d

    Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds insurers. Linked by “insurance” (insurers) in this story.

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase+0.1% 30d

    JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d

    Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • DHI D.R. Horton+5.0% 30d

    D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • SCHW The Charles Schwab

    The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • CB Chubb+7.3% 30d

    Chubb (fire, marine and casualty insurance): insurers pay claims and price policies around events like this. Linked by “insurance” (insurers) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT-0.09%+0.94%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
IEF-0.34%+0.64%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLF-1.85%-1.14%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
JPM+0.41%-0.26%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BAC+2.47%+0.71%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
DHI-1.58%+0.55%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
SCHW-0.55%-1.39%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CB-2.94%-0.61%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Insurance Stocks Yahoo Finance

Source: Yahoo Finance

How far Ishares Tr (TLT) has moved since 4 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Bank Of America (BAC)three days earlier+0.71%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)five days earlier+2.47%final price
Chubb (CB)three days earlier-0.61%final price
Chubb (CB)five days earlier-2.94%final price
Horton D R (DHI)three days earlier+0.55%final price
Horton D R (DHI)five days earlier-1.58%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)three days earlier+0.64%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)five days earlier-0.34%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)three days earlier-0.26%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)five days earlier+0.41%final price
Schwab Charles (SCHW)three days earlier-1.39%final price
Schwab Charles (SCHW)five days earlier-0.55%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)three days earlier+0.94%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)five days earlier-0.09%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)three days earlier-1.14%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)five days earlier-1.85%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)

Companies carried with this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Insurance Stocks.” Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story

  • IEF Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Insurance Stocks.” Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story

  • XLF Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Insurance Stocks,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds insurers. Linked by “insurance” (insurers) in this story

  • JPM Jpmorgan Chase

    For “Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Insurance Stocks,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story

  • BAC Bank Of America

    Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Insurance Stocks.” Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story

  • DHI Horton D R

    Horton D R (DHI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Insurance Stocks.” Reason on file: D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story

  • SCHW Schwab Charles

    In “Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Insurance Stocks,” Schwab Charles (SCHW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story

  • CB Chubb

    Chubb (CB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Insurance Stocks.” Reason on file: Chubb (fire, marine and casualty insurance): insurers pay claims and price policies around events like this. Linked by “insurance” (insurers) in this story

Ishares Tr (TLT)

The 4 Nov 2026 story “Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Insurance Stocks” names Ishares Tr (TLT) because of this story.

The link for Ishares Tr (TLT) is this: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story

Also listed, Ishares Tr (IEF): iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story

The price range for Ishares Tr (TLT), and the dates in the story

IEF traded between 88.64 and 91.23 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. TLT traded between 76.44 and 81.94 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46. XLF traded between 52.82 and 56.03 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 55.07.

What the saved facts support for Ishares Tr (TLT)

54 out of 100

“Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Insurance Stocks” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 8 linked companies.