Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Stocks
Published . Updated .
Covered by 2 outlets: Yahoo Finance, 24/7 Wall St..
Who covered it: Center 1 · Not rated 1. How we rate outlets
The bond market is already pricing a December rate hike at 70% odds, and history shows most stocks crumble when the Fed tightens. Four companies have a track record of defying that pattern, and the reasons why reveal something most investors overlook about rising rates.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.9% 30d
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase-4.3% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-11.1% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
- DHI D.R. Horton+4.7% 30d
D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
- SCHW The Charles Schwab
The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | -0.20% | -1.03% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | -0.69% | -0.98% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| JPM | -0.92% | +0.67% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | +1.08% | +1.74% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| DHINo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SCHWNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Stocks Yahoo Finance
Source: Yahoo Finance
Price since this story was published: Ishares Tr (TLT)
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank Of America (BAC) | three days earlier | +1.74% | final price |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | five days earlier | +1.08% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | three days earlier | -0.98% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | five days earlier | -0.69% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | three days earlier | +0.67% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | five days earlier | -0.92% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | three days earlier | -1.03% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | five days earlier | -0.20% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman bought Ishares Tr (IEF) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 54 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 59 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 59 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 67 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 54 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Horton D R (DHI), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 77 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who is named in “Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Stocks”
Companies mentioned with this story
- TLT Ishares Tr
For “Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Stocks,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story
- IEF Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Stocks.” Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 2 Nov 2026 story “Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Stocks.” Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story
- BAC Bank Of America
For “Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Stocks,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story
- DHI Horton D R
In “Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Stocks,” Horton D R (DHI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story
- SCHW Schwab Charles
In “Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Stocks,” Schwab Charles (SCHW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story
How “Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Stocks” reaches Ishares Tr (TLT)
“Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Stocks” (2 Nov 2026) reaches Ishares Tr (TLT) through this story.
What ties Ishares Tr (TLT) to the headline is this: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story
A second company, Ishares Tr (IEF), is listed for a different reason: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story
Price levels for Ishares Tr (TLT)
IEF traded between 88.64 and 91.23 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. JPM traded between 325.12 and 345.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 337.10. TLT traded between 76.44 and 81.94 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.
A simple score for Ishares Tr (TLT)
54 out of 100
“Rate Hikes Could Be Coming: History Likes These 4 Stocks” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 6 linked companies.