Geopolitics Alpha

ROI-Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Asian nations that have borne the brunt of the US-Israeli war on Iran and US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs are hopeful that Democrats will be able to temper his most harmful policies.
  • Exposed: XLI, XRT, ITA, USO, AAXJ
  • Market reaction: price tracking starts with the next trading session.

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ROI-Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell

Asian nations that have borne the brunt of the US-Israeli war on Iran and US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs are hopeful that Democrats will be able to temper his most harmful policies. ...

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.3% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+0.3% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund+8.9% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

  • AAXJ iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF-7.7% 14d

    iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF holds stocks listed in Asia, which this story is about (“asia”).

  • EIS iShares MSCI Israel ETF-4.5% 11d

    iShares MSCI Israel ETF holds stocks listed in Israel, which this story is about (“israeli”).

  • CAT Caterpillar-24.1% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • DE Deere-0.3% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLI-1.66%-2.29%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XRT-2.30%-0.06%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
ITA-4.02%-3.08%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
USO+5.38%+6.75%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
AAXJ+3.95%+0.02%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
EISNo price data for this ticker———————
CAT+14.53%-0.17%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
DE-3.81%+1.40%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

ROI-Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell marketscreener.com

Source: marketscreener.com

The price since 4 Nov 2026: Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Ishares Msci Asia Ex-Japan (AAXJ)three days earlier+0.02%final price
Ishares Msci Asia Ex-Japan (AAXJ)five days earlier+3.95%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)three days earlier-0.17%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)five days earlier+14.53%final price
Deere (DE)three days earlier+1.40%final price
Deere (DE)five days earlier-3.81%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-3.08%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-4.02%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+6.75%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.38%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)three days earlier-2.29%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)five days earlier-1.66%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)three days earlier-0.06%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)five days earlier-2.30%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) on one side of this defense story

Companies tied to this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “ROI-Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    For “ROI-Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “ROI-Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “ROI-Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story

  • AAXJ Ishares Msci Asia Ex-Japan

    For “ROI-Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell,” Ishares Msci Asia Ex-Japan (AAXJ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF holds stocks listed in Asia, which this story is about (“asia”)

  • CAT Caterpillar

    Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “ROI-Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell.” Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    For “ROI-Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    For “ROI-Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

How defense news reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

“ROI-Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell” (4 Nov 2026) reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) through Defense.

For Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI), the reason on file says Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XRT), is listed for a different reason: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Dates in the story, and the Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) price range

ITA traded between 197.59 and 215.76 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 214.70. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.

How strong the case is around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

46 out of 100

“ROI-Asia hopes Democrats can provide relief from Trump's Iran war, tariffs: Russell” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.