Geopolitics Alpha

Russia's Ufa refinery ablaze after reported drone strike as Ukraine resumes oil attacks

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Russia's Ufa refinery ablaze after reported drone strike as Ukraine resumes oil attacks

Bashneft-Novoil refinery in Ufa is on fire after a reported Ukrainian drone strike, OSINT analysis shows, as Kyiv resumes refinery attacks

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

    VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+0.3% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “drone” (defense) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund+9.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • VLO Valero Energy+0.5% 30d

    Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum+10.0% 8d

    Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

  • LMT Lockheed Martin+20.7% 30d

    Lockheed Martin (guided missiles and space vehicles and parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “drone” (defense) in this story.

  • PSX Phillips 66+8.4% 30d

    Phillips 66 (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
CRAKNo price data for this ticker———————
XLE-0.51%-2.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
ITA-1.26%-0.97%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
USO-1.54%-1.29%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
VLONo price data for this ticker———————
MPCNo price data for this ticker———————
LMT-0.27%-1.10%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
PSXNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Russia's Ufa refinery ablaze after reported drone strike as Ukraine resumes oil attacks Türkiye Today

Source: Türkiye Today

Energy

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
ITAthree days earlier-0.97%final price
ITAfive days earlier-1.26%final price
LMTthree days earlier-1.10%final price
LMTfive days earlier-0.27%final price
USOthree days earlier-1.29%final price
USOfive days earlier-1.54%final price
XLEthree days earlier-2.20%final price
XLEfive days earlier-0.51%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid the energy case looks

12 out of 100

“Russia's Ufa refinery ablaze after reported drone strike as Ukraine resumes oil attacks” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.