Geopolitics Alpha

Russo-Ukrainian war, day 1706: In two weeks, Washington sanctioned court prosecuting Putin, waived its own sanctions on Russia, and called him humanitarian

Published . Updated .

Russo-Ukrainian war, day 1706: In two weeks, Washington sanctioned court prosecuting Putin, waived its own sanctions on Russia, and called him humanitarian

In Brussels, security talks on Ukraine are planned for 27 or 28 October.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-6.7% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF-10.2% 30d

    SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund+8.2% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “russia” (oil) in this story.

  • UNG United States Natural Gas Fund-7.2% 30d

    United States Natural Gas Fund: it follows natural-gas prices. Linked by “russia” (natural gas) in this story.

  • VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

    Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“brussels”).

  • LMT Lockheed Martin+14.2% 30d

    Lockheed Martin (guided missiles and space vehicles and parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • RTX Rtx-2.2% 6d

    Rtx (aircraft engines and engine parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • NOC Northrop Grumman+5.1% 30d

    Northrop Grumman (search, detection, navigation, guidance, aeronautical sys): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
ITA-0.49%-1.27%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XARNo price data for this ticker———————
USO-3.36%-2.27%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
UNGNo price data for this ticker———————
VGKNo price data for this ticker———————
LMT-13.64%-7.12%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
RTX-2.10%-1.45%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
NOC-5.58%-2.36%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Russo-Ukrainian war, day 1706: In two weeks, Washington sanctioned court prosecuting Putin, waived its own sanctions on Russia, and called him humanitarian Euromaidan Press

Source: Euromaidan Press

Defense

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
ITAthree days earlier-1.27%final price
ITAfive days earlier-0.49%final price
LMTthree days earlier-7.12%final price
LMTfive days earlier-13.64%final price
NOCthree days earlier-2.36%final price
NOCfive days earlier-5.58%final price
RTXthree days earlier-1.45%final price
RTXfive days earlier-2.10%final price
USOthree days earlier-2.27%final price
USOfive days earlier-3.36%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid the defense case looks

12 out of 100

“Russo-Ukrainian war, day 1706: In two weeks, Washington sanctioned court prosecuting Putin, waived its own sanctions on Russia, and called him humanitarian” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.