Geopolitics Alpha

S&P 500 Futures Rise as Oil Falls; Nvidia Sinks on Huang Affair

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, SMH, XOM, CVX
  • Market reaction: USO −3.9% on the day; XLE +0.6% on the day; AVGO +8.9% on the day

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ENERGYS&P 500 Futures Rise as Oil Falls;Nvidia Sinks on Huang AffairNVDAGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and semiconductors. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • NVDA Nvidia-8.4% 30d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF-16.4% 30d

    VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • ASML ASML Holding N.V-9.0% 12d

    ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing-9.5% 30d

    Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+3.0% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+5.4% 19d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
NVDA+8.30%+7.21%base-4.60%after closeafter closeafter close
USO+5.62%-2.06%base-3.90%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+9.12%+3.08%base+0.56%after closeafter closeafter close
SMH+9.57%+8.79%base+5.09%after closeafter closeafter close
ASML+7.09%+5.03%base+6.21%after closeafter closeafter close
TSM+6.26%+5.43%base+3.61%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+8.37%+2.16%base-0.67%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX+7.15%+2.05%base-1.18%after closeafter closeafter close
COP+7.74%+0.44%base-1.29%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

S&P 500 Futures Rise as Oil Falls; Nvidia Sinks on Huang Affair Bloomberg.com

Source: Bloomberg

United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
ASMLthat day+6.21%final price
ASMLthree days earlier+5.03%final price
ASMLfive days earlier+7.09%final price
Conocophillips (COP)that day-1.29%final price
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+0.44%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier+7.74%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-1.18%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+2.05%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier+7.15%final price
Nvidia (NVDA)that day-4.60%final price
Nvidia (NVDA)three days earlier+7.21%final price
Nvidia (NVDA)five days earlier+8.30%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)that day+5.09%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)three days earlier+8.79%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)five days earlier+9.57%final price
TSMthat day+3.61%final price
TSMthree days earlier+5.43%final price
TSMfive days earlier+6.26%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-3.90%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-2.06%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.62%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+0.56%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+3.08%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+9.12%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-0.67%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+2.16%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+8.37%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Likely winners

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “S&P 500 Futures Rise as Oil Falls; Nvidia Sinks on Huang Affair.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “S&P 500 Futures Rise as Oil Falls; Nvidia Sinks on Huang Affair,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “S&P 500 Futures Rise as Oil Falls; Nvidia Sinks on Huang Affair,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “S&P 500 Futures Rise as Oil Falls; Nvidia Sinks on Huang Affair,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • SMH Vaneck Etf Trust

    For “S&P 500 Futures Rise as Oil Falls; Nvidia Sinks on Huang Affair,” Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

  • NVDA Nvidia

    Nvidia (NVDA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “S&P 500 Futures Rise as Oil Falls; Nvidia Sinks on Huang Affair.” Reason on file: Nvidia (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “S&P 500 Futures Rise as Oil Falls; Nvidia Sinks on Huang Affair,” the 9 Nov 2026 Energy story.

United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range

SMH traded between 506.51 and 639.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 508.07. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

What the saved facts support for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“S&P 500 Futures Rise as Oil Falls; Nvidia Sinks on Huang Affair” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.