Saratov Oil Refinery on fire following Ukrainian nighttime attack - OSINT analysis
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This report is about oil and refining. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF
VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “ukrainian” (defense) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+3.0% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- VLO Valero Energy-11.1% 30d
Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.
- MPC Marathon Petroleum-5.2% 14d
Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | +5.62% | -2.06% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | +9.12% | +3.08% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CRAK | +9.70% | +5.65% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| ITA | +3.67% | +2.77% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | +8.37% | +2.16% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | +7.15% | +2.05% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| VLO | +10.15% | +5.46% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| MPC | +15.44% | +5.26% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Saratov Oil Refinery on fire following Ukrainian nighttime attack - OSINT analysis Ukrainian News Agency
Source: Ukrainian News Agency
How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 7 Nov 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) | three days earlier | +5.65% | final price |
| Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) | five days earlier | +9.70% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | three days earlier | +2.05% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | five days earlier | +7.15% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | three days earlier | +2.77% | final price |
| IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) | five days earlier | +3.67% | final price |
| Marathon Petroleum (MPC) | three days earlier | +5.26% | final price |
| Marathon Petroleum (MPC) | five days earlier | +15.44% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | -2.06% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +5.62% | final price |
| Valero Energy (VLO) | three days earlier | +5.46% | final price |
| Valero Energy (VLO) | five days earlier | +10.15% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | +3.08% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | +9.12% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | +2.16% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | +8.37% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 24 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 68 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 24 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 45 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 66 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. David J. Taylor sold Marathon Petroleum (MPC), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 15 Oct 2026. That is 23 days before publication. Filed 29 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. David J. Taylor sold Marathon Petroleum (MPC), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 22 Sep 2026. That is 46 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story
Companies that tend to gain
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
In “Saratov Oil Refinery on fire following Ukrainian nighttime attack - OSINT analysis,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
For “Saratov Oil Refinery on fire following Ukrainian nighttime attack - OSINT analysis,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
No up or down call on file
- USO United States Oil Fund
In “Saratov Oil Refinery on fire following Ukrainian nighttime attack - OSINT analysis,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
For “Saratov Oil Refinery on fire following Ukrainian nighttime attack - OSINT analysis,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CRAK Vaneck Etf Trust
Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 7 Nov 2026 story “Saratov Oil Refinery on fire following Ukrainian nighttime attack - OSINT analysis.” Reason on file: VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refinery” (refining) in this story
- ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
For “Saratov Oil Refinery on fire following Ukrainian nighttime attack - OSINT analysis,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “ukrainian” (defense) in this story
How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)
“Saratov Oil Refinery on fire following Ukrainian nighttime attack - OSINT analysis” (7 Nov 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.
For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Dates in the story, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) price range
USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.
A simple score for United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100
“Saratov Oil Refinery on fire following Ukrainian nighttime attack - OSINT analysis” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.