Geopolitics Alpha

Saudi Arabia wants to send 10 million barrels of oil a day around Hormuz. A former Treasury official says it may barely move prices

Published . Updated .

Saudi Arabia wants to send 10 million barrels of oil a day around Hormuz. A former Treasury official says it may barely move prices

Aramco CEO Amin Nasser says the East-West pipeline will grow by 3 million barrels a day, but the expansion will take two to three years, and the line has been hit by drones repeatedly this year.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • FRO Frontline+1.4%

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • INSW International Seaways-1.4%

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • USO United States Oil Fund+4.9%

    Tracks U.S. crude prices when Gulf supply is at risk

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+3.8%

    Energy companies move with a Gulf supply scare

  • XOM Exxon Mobil+7.9%

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • CVX Chevron+5.9%

    Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise

  • STNG Scorpio Tankers

    Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike

  • DAL Delta Air Lines-0.8%

    Airlines pay more for fuel when oil prices jump

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
FRO+2.38%-1.82%base+3.53%after closeafter closeafter close
INSW+1.36%-3.49%base+3.54%after closeafter closeafter close
DHT-2.28%-3.23%base+1.88%after closeafter closeafter close
TNK+1.72%-0.66%base+2.67%after closeafter closeafter close
USO-0.46%-1.11%base+3.60%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+0.97%+0.55%base+2.97%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+0.46%-0.17%base+2.82%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX-0.70%-0.41%base+2.96%after closeafter closeafter close
STNG-1.22%-2.04%base+3.20%after closeafter closeafter close
DAL-4.91%-3.24%base-3.68%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Saudi Arabia wants to send 10 million barrels of oil a day around Hormuz. A former Treasury official says it may barely move prices Fortune

Source: Fortune

Strait of Hormuz

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
CVXthat day+2.96%still updating
CVXthree days earlier-0.41%final price
CVXfive days earlier-0.70%final price
DALthat day-3.68%still updating
DALthree days earlier-3.24%final price
DALfive days earlier-4.91%final price
DHTthat day+1.88%still updating
DHTthree days earlier-3.23%final price
DHTfive days earlier-2.28%final price
FROthat day+3.53%still updating
FROthree days earlier-1.82%final price
FROfive days earlier+2.38%final price
INSWthat day+3.54%still updating
INSWthree days earlier-3.49%final price
INSWfive days earlier+1.36%final price
MATXthat day+0.04%still updating
MATXthree days earlier+4.40%final price
MATXfive days earlier+3.16%final price
STNGthat day+3.20%still updating
STNGthree days earlier-2.04%final price
STNGfive days earlier-1.22%final price
TNKthat day+2.67%still updating
TNKthree days earlier-0.66%final price
TNKfive days earlier+1.72%final price
USOthat day+3.60%still updating
USOthree days earlier-1.11%final price
USOfive days earlier-0.46%final price
XLEthat day+2.97%still updating
XLEthree days earlier+0.55%final price
XLEfive days earlier+0.97%final price
XOMthat day+2.82%still updating
XOMthree days earlier-0.17%final price
XOMfive days earlier+0.46%final price
ZIMthat day+0.21%still updating
ZIMthree days earlier+0.29%final price
ZIMfive days earlier+0.53%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Strait of Hormuz on the map for this story

Strait of Hormuz has 254 linked stories in the last 7 days and 254 in the last 30 on the page that also carries “Saudi Arabia wants to send 10 million barrels of oil a day around Hormuz. A former Treasury official says it may barely move prices.” The recent pace is rising.

How solid the energy case looks

12 out of 100Price not final

“Saudi Arabia wants to send 10 million barrels of oil a day around Hormuz. A former Treasury official says it may barely move prices” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources. The price is not final yet.