Geopolitics Alpha

Shell Profit Leans on Record Refining Margins: Rapid Earnings Reaction

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Shell Profit Leans on Record Refining Margins: Rapid Earnings Reaction

Shell’s profit jumped to $10.8 billion, but record refining margins did all the work while every other segment combined stayed about flat.

Directly affected

  • SHEL Shell+0.1% 13d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

    VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.2% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story.

  • VLO Valero Energy+1.5% 30d

    Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story.

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum+10.2% 7d

    Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story.

  • PSX Phillips 66+8.5% 30d

    Phillips 66 (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.3% 14d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
SHEL+0.66%+1.71%base+2.36%after closeafter closeafter close
CRAK+3.93%+4.31%base-1.57%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE-1.29%+1.72%base-0.04%after closeafter closeafter close
VLO+9.72%+9.74%base-1.96%after closeafter closeafter close
MPC+4.26%+6.82%base-3.66%after closeafter closeafter close
PSX+3.99%+5.51%base-1.16%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM-2.14%+1.35%base+0.22%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Shell Profit Leans on Record Refining Margins: Rapid Earnings Reaction Yahoo Finance

Source: Yahoo Finance

Price since this story was published: Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)that day-1.57%still updating
Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)three days earlier+4.31%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)five days earlier+3.93%final price
Marathon Petroleum (MPC)that day-3.66%still updating
Marathon Petroleum (MPC)three days earlier+6.82%final price
Marathon Petroleum (MPC)five days earlier+4.26%final price
Phillips 66 (PSX)that day-1.16%still updating
Phillips 66 (PSX)three days earlier+5.51%final price
Phillips 66 (PSX)five days earlier+3.99%final price
SHELthat day+2.36%still updating
SHELthree days earlier+1.71%final price
SHELfive days earlier+0.66%final price
Valero Energy (VLO)that day-1.96%still updating
Valero Energy (VLO)three days earlier+9.74%final price
Valero Energy (VLO)five days earlier+9.72%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-0.04%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+1.72%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-1.29%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day+0.22%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+1.35%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-2.14%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)

Companies tied to this story

  • CRAK Vaneck Etf Trust

    For “Shell Profit Leans on Record Refining Margins: Rapid Earnings Reaction,” Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Shell Profit Leans on Record Refining Margins: Rapid Earnings Reaction,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story

  • VLO Valero Energy

    Valero Energy (VLO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 29 Oct 2026 story “Shell Profit Leans on Record Refining Margins: Rapid Earnings Reaction.” Reason on file: Valero Energy (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story

  • MPC Marathon Petroleum

    Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 29 Oct 2026 story “Shell Profit Leans on Record Refining Margins: Rapid Earnings Reaction.” Reason on file: Marathon Petroleum (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story

  • PSX Phillips 66

    For “Shell Profit Leans on Record Refining Margins: Rapid Earnings Reaction,” Phillips 66 (PSX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Phillips 66 (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 29 Oct 2026 story “Shell Profit Leans on Record Refining Margins: Rapid Earnings Reaction.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): refiners' margins move with crude and fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story

Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)

On 29 Oct 2026, “Shell Profit Leans on Record Refining Margins: Rapid Earnings Reaction” is the story that connects Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) to this story.

The link for Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK) is this: VanEck Oil Refiners ETF: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: it holds refiners, whose margins move with fuel prices. Linked by “refining” (refining) in this story

The price range for Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK), and the dates in the story

VLO traded between 380.74 and 461.55 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 388.44. XLE traded between 61.05 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 68.46.

A simple score for Vaneck Etf Trust (CRAK)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Shell Profit Leans on Record Refining Margins: Rapid Earnings Reaction” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies. The price is not final yet.