Geopolitics Alpha

Ships carrying 2M barrels of oil hit mines, explode in Strait of Hormuz: Iran

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ENERGY · STRAIT OF HORMUZShips carrying 2M barrels of oilhit mines, explode in Strait ofHormuz: IranGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and tanker shipping. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+9.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+10.9% 15d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+10.5% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+8.3% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+0.1% 13d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • FRO Frontline+10.0% 30d

    Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-1.54%-1.29%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE-0.51%-2.20%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWETNo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-1.45%-2.77%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX-1.54%-2.69%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
COPNo price data for this ticker———————
SHELNo price data for this ticker———————
FRO-2.87%-2.32%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Ships carrying 2M barrels of oil hit mines, explode in Strait of Hormuz: Iran New York Post

Source: New York Post

How United States Oil Fund (USO) moved after the last 17 energy shocks

United States Oil Fund (USO) the next day, across 17 earlier stories: average +4.09%, largest gain +6.10%, largest drop +2.68%, from 17 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day+4.09%+6.10%+2.68%17
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later+2.58%+5.08%+2.22%17
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day+2.17%+2.88%-0.95%17
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later+0.82%+1.30%+0.18%17
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)the next day+2.90%+3.24%+0.37%15
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days later+1.80%+2.38%+1.19%15

United States Oil Fund (USO) compared with energy stocks (XLE) since 30 Oct 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier-2.69%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Frontline (FRO)three days earlier-2.32%final price
Frontline (FRO)five days earlier-2.87%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-1.29%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-1.54%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-2.20%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-0.51%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-2.77%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-1.45%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

The Strait of Hormuz count beside this story

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 141 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 394 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “Ships carrying 2M barrels of oil hit mines, explode in Strait of Hormuz: Iran” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

Who collects and who pays in energy

The side that tends to collect

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Ships carrying 2M barrels of oil hit mines, explode in Strait of Hormuz: Iran,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    In “Ships carrying 2M barrels of oil hit mines, explode in Strait of Hormuz: Iran,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum

    Occidental Petroleum (OXY) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Ships carrying 2M barrels of oil hit mines, explode in Strait of Hormuz: Iran.” Reason on file: Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • FRO Frontline

    Frontline (FRO) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Ships carrying 2M barrels of oil hit mines, explode in Strait of Hormuz: Iran.” Reason on file: Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Ships carrying 2M barrels of oil hit mines, explode in Strait of Hormuz: Iran.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Ships carrying 2M barrels of oil hit mines, explode in Strait of Hormuz: Iran,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    In “Ships carrying 2M barrels of oil hit mines, explode in Strait of Hormuz: Iran,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Ships carrying 2M barrels of oil hit mines, explode in Strait of Hormuz: Iran.” Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

From Strait of Hormuz to United States Oil Fund (USO)

The 30 Oct 2026 story “Ships carrying 2M barrels of oil hit mines, explode in Strait of Hormuz: Iran” names United States Oil Fund (USO) because of Strait of Hormuz.

What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

What this energy story puts on the calendar

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.21. XLE traded between 61.91 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 68.72.

How strong the case is around United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“Ships carrying 2M barrels of oil hit mines, explode in Strait of Hormuz: Iran” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.