Geopolitics Alpha

SN: Broad-based 21.2% sales growth lifts FY2026 outlook amid tariff-refund effects

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Q3 sales rose 21.2% and Adjusted EBITDA grew 45.7%; fiscal 2026 sales, EPS, and EBITDA outlooks were raised.
  • Exposed: XLI, XRT, CAT, DE, WMT
  • Market reaction: XRT +4.4% on the day (still updating); XLI −1.6% on the day (still updating); CAT −4.9% on the day (still updating)

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SN: Broad-based 21.2% sales growth lifts FY2026 outlook amid tariff-refund effects

Q3 sales rose 21.2% and Adjusted EBITDA grew 45.7%; fiscal 2026 sales, EPS, and EBITDA outlooks were raised. GAAP results included significant IEEPA duty refunds, which affected reported margins and were excluded from specified adjusted measures.Original document: SharkNinja

Directly affected

  • SN SharkNinja

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.3% 30d

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • CAT Caterpillar-23.2% 30d

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • DE Deere-0.6% 30d

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+12.9% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • NKE Nike+6.7% 30d

    Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
SN-5.93%-1.25%base+2.48%after closeafter closeafter close
XLI-1.66%-2.29%base-1.56%after closeafter closeafter close
XRT-2.30%-0.06%base+4.44%after closeafter closeafter close
CAT+14.53%-0.17%base-4.86%after closeafter closeafter close
DE-3.81%+1.40%base+0.12%after closeafter closeafter close
WMT-4.79%-1.04%base+2.15%after closeafter closeafter close
NKE-3.40%+0.56%base+3.69%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

SN: Broad-based 21.2% sales growth lifts FY2026 outlook amid tariff-refund effects TradingView

Source: TradingView

Price since this story was published: Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Caterpillar (CAT)that day-4.86%still updating
Caterpillar (CAT)three days earlier-0.17%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)five days earlier+14.53%final price
Deere (DE)that day+0.12%still updating
Deere (DE)three days earlier+1.40%final price
Deere (DE)five days earlier-3.81%final price
Nike (NKE)that day+3.69%still updating
Nike (NKE)three days earlier+0.56%final price
Nike (NKE)five days earlier-3.40%final price
SNthat day+2.48%still updating
SNthree days earlier-1.25%final price
SNfive days earlier-5.93%final price
Walmart (WMT)that day+2.15%still updating
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier-1.04%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier-4.79%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)that day-1.56%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)three days earlier-2.29%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)five days earlier-1.66%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)that day+4.44%still updating
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)three days earlier-0.06%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)five days earlier-2.30%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Companies carried with this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “SN: Broad-based 21.2% sales growth lifts FY2026 outlook amid tariff-refund effects,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    In “SN: Broad-based 21.2% sales growth lifts FY2026 outlook amid tariff-refund effects,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • CAT Caterpillar

    For “SN: Broad-based 21.2% sales growth lifts FY2026 outlook amid tariff-refund effects,” Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    In “SN: Broad-based 21.2% sales growth lifts FY2026 outlook amid tariff-refund effects,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “SN: Broad-based 21.2% sales growth lifts FY2026 outlook amid tariff-refund effects.” Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • NKE Nike

    Nike (NKE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “SN: Broad-based 21.2% sales growth lifts FY2026 outlook amid tariff-refund effects.” Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

The 4 Nov 2026 story “SN: Broad-based 21.2% sales growth lifts FY2026 outlook amid tariff-refund effects” names Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) because of this story.

What ties Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to the headline is this: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Also listed, Spdr Series Trust (XRT): SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

The price range for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI), and the dates in the story

CAT traded between 609.97 and 844.69 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 623.81. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.

A simple score for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

46 out of 100Price not final

“SN: Broad-based 21.2% sales growth lifts FY2026 outlook amid tariff-refund effects” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies. The price is not final yet.