Southeast Asia rides out the return of Trump’s tariffs
Published . Updated .
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As US tariffs return under sturdier legal footing, Southeast Asian firms are likely to pass on the costs while gradually diversifying away from the US market.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-0.3% 30d
Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF
SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- AAXJ iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF-11.0% 11d
iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF holds stocks listed in Asia, which this story is about (“asia”).
- CAT Caterpillar-31.9% 30d
Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- DE Deere-2.2% 30d
Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- WMT Walmart+20.2% 30d
Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- NKE Nike+6.7% 30d
Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLI | +4.34% | +4.15% | base | +4.24% | after close | after close | after close |
| XRT | +1.17% | +4.73% | base | +3.68% | after close | after close | after close |
| AAXJ | +3.50% | +4.44% | base | +2.92% | after close | after close | after close |
| CAT | +9.84% | +5.82% | base | +7.10% | after close | after close | after close |
| DE | -0.85% | +0.44% | base | +3.33% | after close | after close | after close |
| WMT | +1.78% | +2.99% | base | +0.11% | after close | after close | after close |
| NKE | +1.40% | +4.92% | base | +3.80% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Southeast Asia rides out the return of Trump’s tariffs East Asia Forum
Source: East Asia Forum
The price since 9 Nov 2026: Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) versus the S&P 500
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ishares Msci Asia Ex-Japan (AAXJ) | that day | +2.92% | final price |
| Ishares Msci Asia Ex-Japan (AAXJ) | three days earlier | +4.44% | final price |
| Ishares Msci Asia Ex-Japan (AAXJ) | five days earlier | +3.50% | final price |
| Caterpillar (CAT) | that day | +7.10% | final price |
| Caterpillar (CAT) | three days earlier | +5.82% | final price |
| Caterpillar (CAT) | five days earlier | +9.84% | final price |
| Deere (DE) | that day | +3.33% | final price |
| Deere (DE) | three days earlier | +0.44% | final price |
| Deere (DE) | five days earlier | -0.85% | final price |
| Nike (NKE) | that day | +3.80% | final price |
| Nike (NKE) | three days earlier | +4.92% | final price |
| Nike (NKE) | five days earlier | +1.40% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | that day | +0.11% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | three days earlier | +2.99% | final price |
| Walmart (WMT) | five days earlier | +1.78% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) | that day | +4.24% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) | three days earlier | +4.15% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) | five days earlier | +4.34% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XRT) | that day | +3.68% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XRT) | three days earlier | +4.73% | final price |
| Spdr Series Trust (XRT) | five days earlier | +1.17% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Lisa McClain bought Caterpillar (CAT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 42 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 38 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Jonathan Jackson sold Walmart (WMT) (jointly held), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 42 days before publication. Filed 19 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Walmart (WMT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 45 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Nike (NKE), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 28 Aug 2026. That is 73 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros sold Nike (NKE), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 74 days before publication. Filed 10 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Nike (NKE), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 80 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who is named in “Southeast Asia rides out the return of Trump’s tariffs”
Companies carried with this story
- XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “Southeast Asia rides out the return of Trump’s tariffs.” Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- XRT Spdr Series Trust
For “Southeast Asia rides out the return of Trump’s tariffs,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- AAXJ Ishares Msci Asia Ex-Japan
In “Southeast Asia rides out the return of Trump’s tariffs,” Ishares Msci Asia Ex-Japan (AAXJ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF holds stocks listed in Asia, which this story is about (“asia”)
- CAT Caterpillar
For “Southeast Asia rides out the return of Trump’s tariffs,” Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- DE Deere
In “Southeast Asia rides out the return of Trump’s tariffs,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- WMT Walmart
For “Southeast Asia rides out the return of Trump’s tariffs,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- NKE Nike
For “Southeast Asia rides out the return of Trump’s tariffs,” Nike (NKE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
How “Southeast Asia rides out the return of Trump’s tariffs” reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
On 9 Nov 2026, “Southeast Asia rides out the return of Trump’s tariffs” is the story that connects Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to this story.
The link for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is this: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is here too. Its reason reads: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
The price range for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI), and the dates in the story
AAXJ traded between 106.27 and 119.65 across 7 sessions. The latest close on file is 107.13. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.
How solid “Southeast Asia rides out the return of Trump’s tariffs” looks
46 out of 100
“Southeast Asia rides out the return of Trump’s tariffs” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 7 linked companies.