Geopolitics Alpha

SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF vs. iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF: Higher Interest Rates Are Exposing a Critical Difference for 2027

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • The next phase of the interest rate cycle could create very different winners and losers across America's regional banking industry.
  • Exposed: XLF, KRE, TLT, JPM, BAC
  • Market reaction: KRE −0.8% on the day (still updating); XLF −0.2% on the day (still updating); GS +1.4% on the day (still updating)

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SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF vs. iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF: Higher Interest Rates Are Exposing a Critical Difference for 2027

The next phase of the interest rate cycle could create very different winners and losers across America's regional banking industry.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR+1.0% 19d

    Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “banks” (banks) in this story.

  • KRE SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF+0.3% 30d

    SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF: it holds banks. Linked by “banks” (banks) in this story.

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.2% 19d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase+0.1% 30d

    JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “banks” (banks) in this story.

  • BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d

    Bank of America (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “banks” (banks) in this story.

  • WFC Wells Fargo+4.4% 30d

    Wells Fargo (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “banks” (banks) in this story.

  • C Citigroup-5.6% 30d

    Citigroup (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “banks” (banks) in this story.

  • GS The Goldman Sachs Group+0.6% 30d

    Bank profits move with lending and interest rates. Linked by “regional bank + banks” in this story

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLF+1.53%-1.92%base-0.19%after closeafter closeafter close
KRE+1.42%-1.21%base-0.75%after closeafter closeafter close
TLT+1.08%+1.27%base-0.48%after closeafter closeafter close
JPM+2.98%-2.21%base-0.11%after closeafter closeafter close
BAC+1.83%-2.53%base-0.28%after closeafter closeafter close
WFC+1.95%-2.13%base-0.34%after closeafter closeafter close
C+2.03%-2.61%base+1.25%after closeafter closeafter close
GS+1.98%-4.87%base+1.42%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF vs. iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF: Higher Interest Rates Are Exposing a Critical Difference for 2027 The Motley Fool

Source: The Motley Fool

Price since this story was published: Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Bank Of America (BAC)that day-0.28%still updating
Bank Of America (BAC)three days earlier-2.53%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)five days earlier+1.83%final price
Citigroup (C)that day+1.25%still updating
Citigroup (C)three days earlier-2.61%final price
Citigroup (C)five days earlier+2.03%final price
Goldman Sachs Group (GS)that day+1.42%still updating
Goldman Sachs Group (GS)three days earlier-4.87%final price
Goldman Sachs Group (GS)five days earlier+1.98%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)that day-0.11%still updating
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)three days earlier-2.21%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)five days earlier+2.98%final price
Spdr Series Trust (KRE)that day-0.75%still updating
Spdr Series Trust (KRE)three days earlier-1.21%final price
Spdr Series Trust (KRE)five days earlier+1.42%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)that day-0.48%still updating
Ishares Tr (TLT)three days earlier+1.27%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)five days earlier+1.08%final price
Wells Fargo (WFC)that day-0.34%still updating
Wells Fargo (WFC)three days earlier-2.13%final price
Wells Fargo (WFC)five days earlier+1.95%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)that day-0.19%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)three days earlier-1.92%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)five days earlier+1.53%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)

Companies tied to this story

  • XLF Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF vs. iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF: Higher Interest Rates Are Exposing a Critical Difference for 2027,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “banks” (banks) in this story

  • KRE Spdr Series Trust

    Spdr Series Trust (KRE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF vs. iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF: Higher Interest Rates Are Exposing a Critical Difference for 2027.” Reason on file: SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF: it holds banks. Linked by “banks” (banks) in this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    In “SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF vs. iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF: Higher Interest Rates Are Exposing a Critical Difference for 2027,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story

  • JPM Jpmorgan Chase

    Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF vs. iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF: Higher Interest Rates Are Exposing a Critical Difference for 2027.” Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “banks” (banks) in this story

  • BAC Bank Of America

    For “SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF vs. iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF: Higher Interest Rates Are Exposing a Critical Difference for 2027,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “banks” (banks) in this story

  • WFC Wells Fargo

    Wells Fargo (WFC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 11 Nov 2026 story “SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF vs. iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF: Higher Interest Rates Are Exposing a Critical Difference for 2027.” Reason on file: Wells Fargo (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “banks” (banks) in this story

  • C Citigroup

    In “SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF vs. iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF: Higher Interest Rates Are Exposing a Critical Difference for 2027,” Citigroup (C) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Citigroup (national commercial banks): banks' earnings move with lending, deposits and rates. Linked by “banks” (banks) in this story

  • GS Goldman Sachs Group

    For “SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF vs. iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF: Higher Interest Rates Are Exposing a Critical Difference for 2027,” Goldman Sachs Group (GS) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank profits move with lending and interest rates. Linked by “regional bank + banks” in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)

On 11 Nov 2026, “SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF vs. iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF: Higher Interest Rates Are Exposing a Critical Difference for 2027” is the story that connects Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) to this story.

What ties Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF) to the headline is this: Financial Select Sector SPDR: it holds banks. Linked by “banks” (banks) in this story

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (KRE), is listed for a different reason: SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF: it holds banks. Linked by “banks” (banks) in this story

Price levels for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)

KRE traded between 67.80 and 71.49 across 18 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.61. TLT traded between 76.44 and 80.56 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46. XLF traded between 52.82 and 56.02 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 55.07.

What the saved facts support for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLF)

46 out of 100Price not final

“SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF vs. iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF: Higher Interest Rates Are Exposing a Critical Difference for 2027” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.