Geopolitics Alpha

Speech by Commissioner Lahbib at the Opening of the European Civil Protection Forum

Published . Updated .

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DEFENSESpeech by Commissioner Lahbib atthe Opening of the European CivilProtection ForumGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

European Commission Speech Brussels, 03 Nov 2026 Allow me to start with a personal memory. Twenty-five years ago, I was in Afghanistan as a young reporter for Belgian television. It was autumn 2001. The war ha...

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.0% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF-6.6% 30d

    SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

    Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“european”).

  • ASML ASML Holding N.V-0.1% 17d

    ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery) is one of the largest Europe-based companies traded in the US, so news about Europe (“european”) reaches its shares.

  • HSBC HSBC Holdings-7.7% 17d

    HSBC Holdings (savings institution, federally chartered) is one of the largest Europe-based companies traded in the US, so news about Europe (“european”) reaches its shares.

  • SHEL Shell-2.5% 12d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas) is one of the largest Europe-based companies traded in the US, so news about Europe (“european”) reaches its shares.

  • NVS Novartis AG+1.5% 16d

    Novartis AG (pharmaceutical preparations) is one of the largest Europe-based companies traded in the US, so news about Europe (“european”) reaches its shares.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
ITA-3.96%-0.11%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XAR-2.82%+1.94%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
VGK-1.15%+0.07%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
ASML+7.22%+9.85%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
HSBC+0.10%+0.79%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
SHEL-0.17%+2.59%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
NVS-2.88%-0.25%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

European Commission Speech Brussels, 03 Nov 2026 Allow me to start with a personal memory. Twenty-five years ago, I was in Afghanistan as a young reporter for Belgian television. It was autumn 2001. The war ha...

Source: European Commission

Defense

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
ASMLthree days earlier+9.85%final price
ASMLfive days earlier+7.22%final price
HSBCthree days earlier+0.79%final price
HSBCfive days earlier+0.10%final price
ITAthree days earlier-0.11%final price
ITAfive days earlier-3.96%final price
NVSthree days earlier-0.25%final price
NVSfive days earlier-2.88%final price
SHELthree days earlier+2.59%final price
SHELfive days earlier-0.17%final price
VGKthree days earlier+0.07%final price
VGKfive days earlier-1.15%final price
XARthree days earlier+1.94%final price
XARfive days earlier-2.82%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid the defense case looks

12 out of 100

“Speech by Commissioner Lahbib at the Opening of the European Civil Protection Forum” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.