Geopolitics Alpha

Stock Futures Higher as Crude Prices Cool, Chips Surge

Published . Updated .

ENERGYStock Futures Higher as CrudePrices Cool, Chips SurgeGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and semiconductors. Names like XOM and CVX typically gain because exxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “crude” (oil) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+8.2% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “crude” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+7.4% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “crude” (oil) in this story.

  • SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF-2.5% 30d

    VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “chips” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • ASML ASML Holding N.V-7.1% 30d

    ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “chips” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • NVDA Nvidia+0.0% 30d

    Nvidia (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “chips” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing-0.0% 30d

    Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “chips” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+11.0% 11d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “crude” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+9.9% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “crude” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-5.13%-5.78%base-2.94%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE-2.19%-1.69%base-0.41%after closeafter closeafter close
SMHNo price data for this ticker———————
ASMLNo price data for this ticker———————
NVDANo price data for this ticker———————
TSMNo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-2.72%-2.80%base-0.51%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX-3.75%-2.77%base-0.81%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Stock Futures Higher as Crude Prices Cool, Chips Surge Schaeffer's Investment Research

Source: Schaeffer's Investment Research

United States Oil Fund (USO) since “Stock Futures Higher as Crude Prices Cool, Chips Surge,” compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Chevron (CVX)that day-0.81%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier-2.77%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier-3.75%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-2.94%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-5.78%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-5.13%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-0.41%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-1.69%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-2.19%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-0.51%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-2.80%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-2.72%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story

Likely winners

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    For “Stock Futures Higher as Crude Prices Cool, Chips Surge,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “crude” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Stock Futures Higher as Crude Prices Cool, Chips Surge.” Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “crude” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Stock Futures Higher as Crude Prices Cool, Chips Surge,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “crude” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Stock Futures Higher as Crude Prices Cool, Chips Surge,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “crude” (oil) in this story

  • SMH Vaneck Etf Trust

    For “Stock Futures Higher as Crude Prices Cool, Chips Surge,” Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “chips” (semiconductors) in this story

  • AVGO Broadcom

    For “Stock Futures Higher as Crude Prices Cool, Chips Surge,” Broadcom (AVGO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Broadcom (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “chips” (semiconductors) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Stock Futures Higher as Crude Prices Cool, Chips Surge,” the 26 Oct 2026 Energy story.

For United States Oil Fund (USO), the reason on file says United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “crude” (oil) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “crude” (oil) in this story

Price levels for United States Oil Fund (USO)

SMH traded between 520.59 and 639.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 527.31. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.55. XLE traded between 60.95 and 69.72 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 69.32.

How solid the energy case looks

46 out of 100Price not final

“Stock Futures Higher as Crude Prices Cool, Chips Surge” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.