Geopolitics Alpha

Stocks fall as the 10-year Treasury yield nears 5% mark

Published . Updated .

Latest 10-year yield, chart and Fed context: 10-year Treasury yield tracker →

Key takeaways

  • “I don’t think they should be raising another 25 basis points,” one portfolio manager said about the Federal Reserve’s benchmark interest rate.
  • Exposed: TLT, IEF, JPM, BAC, DHI
  • Market reaction: TLT −0.5% on the day (still updating); IEF −0.3% on the day (still updating); DHI −1.9% on the day (still updating)

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GEOPOLITICS ALPHAStocks fall as the 10-yearTreasury yield nears 5% markGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

“I don’t think they should be raising another 25 basis points,” one portfolio manager said about the Federal Reserve’s benchmark interest rate.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.2% 19d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.1% 19d

    iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase+0.1% 30d

    JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d

    Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • DHI D.R. Horton+6.8% 30d

    D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • SCHW The Charles Schwab

    The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT+1.08%+1.27%base-0.48%after closeafter closeafter close
IEF+0.67%+0.89%base-0.28%after closeafter closeafter close
JPM+2.98%-2.21%base-0.11%after closeafter closeafter close
BAC+1.83%-2.53%base-0.28%after closeafter closeafter close
DHI+4.91%+1.71%base-1.88%after closeafter closeafter close
SCHW+0.36%-1.66%base-0.84%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

“I don’t think they should be raising another 25 basis points,” one portfolio manager said about the Federal Reserve’s benchmark interest rate.

Source: MarketWatch

Ishares Tr (TLT) since “Stocks fall as the 10-year Treasury yield nears 5% mark,” compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Bank Of America (BAC)that day-0.28%still updating
Bank Of America (BAC)three days earlier-2.53%final price
Bank Of America (BAC)five days earlier+1.83%final price
Horton D R (DHI)that day-1.88%still updating
Horton D R (DHI)three days earlier+1.71%final price
Horton D R (DHI)five days earlier+4.91%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)that day-0.28%still updating
Ishares Tr (IEF)three days earlier+0.89%final price
Ishares Tr (IEF)five days earlier+0.67%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)that day-0.11%still updating
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)three days earlier-2.21%final price
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM)five days earlier+2.98%final price
Schwab Charles (SCHW)that day-0.84%still updating
Schwab Charles (SCHW)three days earlier-1.66%final price
Schwab Charles (SCHW)five days earlier+0.36%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)that day-0.48%still updating
Ishares Tr (TLT)three days earlier+1.27%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)five days earlier+1.08%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    In “Stocks fall as the 10-year Treasury yield nears 5% mark,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story

  • IEF Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “Stocks fall as the 10-year Treasury yield nears 5% mark.” Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story

  • JPM Jpmorgan Chase

    In “Stocks fall as the 10-year Treasury yield nears 5% mark,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story

  • BAC Bank Of America

    For “Stocks fall as the 10-year Treasury yield nears 5% mark,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story

  • DHI Horton D R

    Horton D R (DHI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 10 Nov 2026 story “Stocks fall as the 10-year Treasury yield nears 5% mark.” Reason on file: D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story

  • SCHW Schwab Charles

    For “Stocks fall as the 10-year Treasury yield nears 5% mark,” Schwab Charles (SCHW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story

How “Stocks fall as the 10-year Treasury yield nears 5% mark” reaches Ishares Tr (TLT)

Ishares Tr (TLT) is the company in “Stocks fall as the 10-year Treasury yield nears 5% mark,” the 10 Nov 2026 this story story.

The link for Ishares Tr (TLT) is this: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story

Also listed, Ishares Tr (IEF): iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “federal reserve” (US interest rates) in this story

Dates and price levels for Ishares Tr (TLT)

IEF traded between 88.64 and 90.69 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. JPM traded between 325.12 and 345.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 338.00. TLT traded between 76.44 and 80.56 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.

A simple score for Ishares Tr (TLT)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Stocks fall as the 10-year Treasury yield nears 5% mark” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies. The price is not final yet.