Stocks often rally after midterm elections, but AI spending, rate hikes add risk this time
Published . Updated .
The election may grab headlines, but a strategist says Wall Street is more focused on AI investment and future rate hikes.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.9% 30d
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
- QQQ Invesco QQQ-2.6% 30d
Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase-4.3% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-11.1% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
- DHI D.R. Horton+4.7% 30d
D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
- SCHW The Charles Schwab
The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
- MSFT Microsoft+4.0% 30d
Microsoft (prepackaged software): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | -0.20% | -1.03% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | -0.69% | -0.98% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| QQQNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JPM | -0.92% | +0.67% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | +1.08% | +1.74% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| DHINo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SCHWNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MSFTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Stocks often rally after midterm elections, but AI spending, rate hikes add risk this time NewsNation
Source: NewsNation
Price since this story was published: Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ)
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank Of America (BAC) | three days earlier | +1.74% | final price |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | five days earlier | +1.08% | final price |
| IEF | three days earlier | -0.98% | final price |
| IEF | five days earlier | -0.69% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | three days earlier | +0.67% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | five days earlier | -0.92% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | three days earlier | -1.03% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | five days earlier | -0.20% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman bought IEF (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 52 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 57 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 57 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 65 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 52 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 68 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Horton D R (DHI), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 75 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a spouse), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 2 Oct 2026. That is 29 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Lisa McClain bought Microsoft (MSFT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 30 Sep 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael Rulli sold Microsoft (MSFT), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 2 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Alphabet (GOOGL), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 18 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Alphabet (GOOGL) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 57 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ)
Companies mentioned with this story
- QQQ Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1
Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 31 Oct 2026 story “Stocks often rally after midterm elections, but AI spending, rate hikes add risk this time.” Reason on file: Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story
- AIQ Global X Fds
Global X Fds (AIQ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 31 Oct 2026 story “Stocks often rally after midterm elections, but AI spending, rate hikes add risk this time.” Reason on file: Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story
- TLT Ishares Tr
For “Stocks often rally after midterm elections, but AI spending, rate hikes add risk this time,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story
- MSFT Microsoft
For “Stocks often rally after midterm elections, but AI spending, rate hikes add risk this time,” Microsoft (MSFT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Microsoft (prepackaged software): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase
In “Stocks often rally after midterm elections, but AI spending, rate hikes add risk this time,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story
- GOOGL Alphabet
In “Stocks often rally after midterm elections, but AI spending, rate hikes add risk this time,” Alphabet (GOOGL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Alphabet (computer programming, data processing, etc.): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story
- BAC Bank Of America
Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 31 Oct 2026 story “Stocks often rally after midterm elections, but AI spending, rate hikes add risk this time.” Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story
- AMZN Amazon Com
In “Stocks often rally after midterm elections, but AI spending, rate hikes add risk this time,” Amazon Com (AMZN) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Amazon.com (catalog and mail-order houses): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story
Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ)
Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) is the company in “Stocks often rally after midterm elections, but AI spending, rate hikes add risk this time,” the 31 Oct 2026 this story story.
What ties Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) to the headline is this: Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story
A second company, Global X Fds (AIQ), is listed for a different reason: Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story
Dates in the story, and the Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) price range
AIQ traded between 61.70 and 67.40 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 62.94. QQQ traded between 683.47 and 762.84 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 690.51. TLT traded between 76.44 and 81.94 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.
A simple score for Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ)
46 out of 100
“Stocks often rally after midterm elections, but AI spending, rate hikes add risk this time” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.