Geopolitics Alpha

Stocks Rally, Then Reverse Amid Nvidia Woes; Fed Bets Lift Dollar

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Market Analysis by Trading Point covering: US Dollar Japanese Yen, Nasdaq 100, Gold Spot US Dollar, Cisco Systems Inc.
  • Exposed: SMH, SOXX, TLT, NVDA, JPM
  • Market reaction: SMH −1.0% on the day; SOXX −0.3% on the day; AVGO +5.4% on the day

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Stocks Rally, Then Reverse Amid Nvidia Woes; Fed Bets Lift Dollar

Market Analysis by Trading Point covering: US Dollar Japanese Yen, Nasdaq 100, Gold Spot US Dollar, Cisco Systems Inc. Read Trading Point's Market Analysis on Investing.com

Directly affected

  • NVDA Nvidia-8.2% 30d

    Named in this report.

  • CSCO Cisco Systems-7.3% 30d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF-16.2% 30d

    VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • SOXX iShares Semiconductor ETF-20.7% 30d

    iShares Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF+0.2% 17d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • GLD SPDR Gold Shares-3.5% 17d

    SPDR Gold Shares: it follows gold or gold miners. Linked by “gold” (gold) in this story.

  • EWJ iShares MSCI Japan ETF-0.6% 13d

    iShares MSCI Japan ETF holds stocks listed in Japan, which this story is about (“japanese”).

  • FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust-1.0% 16d

    Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust follows the Japanese yen, whose moves this story covers.

  • ASML ASML Holding N.V-13.3% 10d

    ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.

  • TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing-10.2% 30d

    Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
NVDA+4.45%+2.76%base-4.48%after closeafter closeafter close
CSCO-5.03%-2.16%base+1.15%after closeafter closeafter close
SMH-12.00%-3.92%base-1.04%after closeafter closeafter close
SOXX-15.74%-5.53%base-0.29%after closeafter closeafter close
TLT+1.21%+1.27%base-1.49%after closeafter closeafter close
GLD+2.83%+3.93%base-2.83%after closeafter closeafter close
EWJ-4.13%-0.69%base-0.68%after closeafter closeafter close
FXY+1.31%+1.27%base+0.02%after closeafter closeafter close
ASML-11.40%-1.39%base-2.42%after closeafter closeafter close
TSM-14.72%-5.94%base-1.86%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Stocks Rally, Then Reverse Amid Nvidia Woes; Fed Bets Lift Dollar Investing.com

Source: Investing.com

How far Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) has moved since 12 Nov 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Asml Holding (ASML)that day-2.42%final price
Asml Holding (ASML)three days earlier-1.39%final price
Asml Holding (ASML)five days earlier-11.40%final price
CSCOthat day+1.15%final price
CSCOthree days earlier-2.16%final price
CSCOfive days earlier-5.03%final price
EWJthat day-0.68%final price
EWJthree days earlier-0.69%final price
EWJfive days earlier-4.13%final price
FXYthat day+0.02%final price
FXYthree days earlier+1.27%final price
FXYfive days earlier+1.31%final price
GLDthat day-2.83%final price
GLDthree days earlier+3.93%final price
GLDfive days earlier+2.83%final price
Nvidia (NVDA)that day-4.48%final price
Nvidia (NVDA)three days earlier+2.76%final price
Nvidia (NVDA)five days earlier+4.45%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)that day-1.04%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)three days earlier-3.92%final price
Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)five days earlier-12.00%final price
Ishares Tr (SOXX)that day-0.29%final price
Ishares Tr (SOXX)three days earlier-5.53%final price
Ishares Tr (SOXX)five days earlier-15.74%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)that day-1.49%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)three days earlier+1.27%final price
Ishares Tr (TLT)five days earlier+1.21%final price
TSMthat day-1.86%final price
TSMthree days earlier-5.94%final price
TSMfive days earlier-14.72%final price

Congressional trades in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • SMH Vaneck Etf Trust

    Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Stocks Rally, Then Reverse Amid Nvidia Woes; Fed Bets Lift Dollar.” Reason on file: VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

  • SOXX Ishares Tr

    For “Stocks Rally, Then Reverse Amid Nvidia Woes; Fed Bets Lift Dollar,” Ishares Tr (SOXX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

  • TLT Ishares Tr

    Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Stocks Rally, Then Reverse Amid Nvidia Woes; Fed Bets Lift Dollar.” Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • NVDA Nvidia

    For “Stocks Rally, Then Reverse Amid Nvidia Woes; Fed Bets Lift Dollar,” Nvidia (NVDA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Nvidia (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

  • JPM Jpmorgan Chase

    For “Stocks Rally, Then Reverse Amid Nvidia Woes; Fed Bets Lift Dollar,” Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • BAC Bank Of America

    For “Stocks Rally, Then Reverse Amid Nvidia Woes; Fed Bets Lift Dollar,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story

  • AVGO Broadcom

    In “Stocks Rally, Then Reverse Amid Nvidia Woes; Fed Bets Lift Dollar,” Broadcom (AVGO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Broadcom (semiconductors and related devices): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

  • ASML Asml Holding

    In “Stocks Rally, Then Reverse Amid Nvidia Woes; Fed Bets Lift Dollar,” Asml Holding (ASML) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ASML Holding N.V (special industry machinery): chip demand, export rules and supply drive chipmakers' shares. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)

The 12 Nov 2026 story “Stocks Rally, Then Reverse Amid Nvidia Woes; Fed Bets Lift Dollar” names Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) because of this story.

The link for Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) is this: VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

Also listed, Ishares Tr (SOXX): iShares Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “nvidia” (semiconductors) in this story

Dates and price levels for Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)

SMH traded between 506.51 and 639.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 508.07. SOXX traded between 452.10 and 596.35 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 453.73. TLT traded between 76.44 and 80.56 across 15 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.

How strong the case is around Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH)

46 out of 100

“Stocks Rally, Then Reverse Amid Nvidia Woes; Fed Bets Lift Dollar” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.