Geopolitics Alpha

Stocks surge as Democrats win and oil price slips

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Stocks soared in London on Wednesday, along with European and US peers, as investors weighed a decisive win for the Democrats over President Donald Trump's Republicans in the US midterm elections.
  • Exposed: USO, XLE, XOM, CVX, COP
  • Market reaction: USO −8.0% on the day; XLE −4.8% on the day; COP −5.2% on the day

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Stocks surge as Democrats win and oil price slips

Stocks soared in London on Wednesday, along with European and US peers, as investors weighed a decisive win for the Democrats over President Donald Trump's Republicans in the US midterm elections.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • EWU iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF-1.3% 30d

    iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF holds stocks listed in the UK, which this story is about (“london”).

  • VGK Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

    Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF holds stocks listed in Europe, which this story is about (“european”).

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+2.0% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+3.5% 11d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas, with business in Europe): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BP BP p.l.c+6.7% 13d

    BP p.l.c (petroleum refining, with business in Europe): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+5.38%+6.75%base-8.03%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+2.64%+4.95%base-4.79%after closeafter closeafter close
BWET+7.18%+11.56%base-15.67%after closeafter closeafter close
EWU+0.04%+1.10%base+3.46%after closeafter closeafter close
VGK-0.30%-0.05%base+2.91%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+2.57%+5.49%base-4.52%after closeafter closeafter close
SHEL+0.85%+4.31%base-2.29%after closeafter closeafter close
BP+4.63%+5.96%base-4.51%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Stocks surge as Democrats win and oil price slips Yahoo Finance UK

Source: Yahoo Finance

United States Oil Fund (USO) since this story, compared with the market

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BPthat day-4.51%final price
BPthree days earlier+5.96%final price
BPfive days earlier+4.63%final price
BWETthat day-15.67%final price
BWETthree days earlier+11.56%final price
BWETfive days earlier+7.18%final price
EWUthat day+3.46%final price
EWUthree days earlier+1.10%final price
EWUfive days earlier+0.04%final price
Shell (SHEL)that day-2.29%final price
Shell (SHEL)three days earlier+4.31%final price
Shell (SHEL)five days earlier+0.85%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-8.03%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+6.75%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.38%final price
VGKthat day+2.91%final price
VGKthree days earlier-0.05%final price
VGKfive days earlier-0.30%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-4.79%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+4.95%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+2.64%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-4.52%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+5.49%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+2.57%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Likely winners

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Stocks surge as Democrats win and oil price slips,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    In “Stocks surge as Democrats win and oil price slips,” Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Stocks surge as Democrats win and oil price slips,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Stocks surge as Democrats win and oil price slips,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    In “Stocks surge as Democrats win and oil price slips,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • SHEL Shell

    For “Stocks surge as Democrats win and oil price slips,” Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

How “Stocks surge as Democrats win and oil price slips” reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

The 4 Nov 2026 story “Stocks surge as Democrats win and oil price slips” names United States Oil Fund (USO) because of Energy.

United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

What this energy story puts on the calendar

USO traded between 142.51 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 158.17. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70. XOM traded between 172.72 and 188.47 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 177.51.

How solid “Stocks surge as Democrats win and oil price slips” looks

46 out of 100

“Stocks surge as Democrats win and oil price slips” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.