Geopolitics Alpha

Strait of Hormuz Tanker Traffic Is the Test for Normal Oil Supply

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: USO, XLE, BWET, FRO, DHT
  • Market reaction: USO −3.9% on the day; XLE +0.6% on the day; BWET −13.6% on the day

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Get these market calls by email

The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.

Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.

ENERGY · STRAIT OF HORMUZStrait of Hormuz Tanker Traffic Isthe Test for Normal Oil SupplyGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and tanker shipping. Names like FRO and DHT typically gain because frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • FRO Frontline+1.0% 30d

    Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    DHT Holdings (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • INSW International Seaways-10.8% 16d

    International Seaways (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Teekay Tankers (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+5.62%-2.06%base-3.90%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+9.12%+3.08%base+0.56%after closeafter closeafter close
BWET+35.08%+5.02%base-13.59%after closeafter closeafter close
FRO+14.63%+6.76%base-2.51%after closeafter closeafter close
DHT+15.43%+6.67%base-0.53%after closeafter closeafter close
INSW+7.59%+1.40%base-2.55%after closeafter closeafter close
TNK+11.16%+3.34%base-0.73%after closeafter closeafter close
XOM+8.37%+2.16%base-0.67%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Strait of Hormuz Tanker Traffic Is the Test for Normal Oil Supply StoneX

Source: StoneX

Earlier energy stories for United States Oil Fund (USO): 15 cases

Those 15 earlier stories put United States Oil Fund (USO) at an average move of -6.12% the next day. Largest gain -3.69%, largest drop -6.32%, from 13 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day-6.12%-3.69%-6.32%13
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later-11.41%-1.37%-12.25%13
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day-4.25%-1.51%-4.71%7
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later-9.93%-0.87%-11.87%7
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)the next day-10.37%-10.37%-10.37%14
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days later-28.03%-28.03%-28.03%14
Frontline (FRO)the next day-7.07%+1.67%-7.80%13
Frontline (FRO)three days later-17.88%+6.89%-21.50%10

Price since this story was published: United States Oil Fund (USO)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)that day-13.59%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)three days earlier+5.02%final price
Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET)five days earlier+35.08%final price
DHT Holdings (DHT)that day-0.53%final price
DHT Holdings (DHT)three days earlier+6.67%final price
DHT Holdings (DHT)five days earlier+15.43%final price
Frontline (FRO)that day-2.51%final price
Frontline (FRO)three days earlier+6.76%final price
Frontline (FRO)five days earlier+14.63%final price
International Seaways (INSW)that day-2.55%final price
International Seaways (INSW)three days earlier+1.40%final price
International Seaways (INSW)five days earlier+7.59%final price
Teekay Tankers (TNK)that day-0.73%final price
Teekay Tankers (TNK)three days earlier+3.34%final price
Teekay Tankers (TNK)five days earlier+11.16%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-3.90%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-2.06%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+5.62%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+0.56%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+3.08%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+9.12%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-0.67%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+2.16%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier+8.37%final price

Members of Congress who traded United States Oil Fund (USO) near this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

The Strait of Hormuz count beside this story

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 172 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 648 stories from the past 30. That is about its usual pace over the past month. “Strait of Hormuz Tanker Traffic Is the Test for Normal Oil Supply” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

United States Oil Fund (USO) on one side of this energy story

Likely winners

  • FRO Frontline

    In “Strait of Hormuz Tanker Traffic Is the Test for Normal Oil Supply,” Frontline (FRO) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    In “Strait of Hormuz Tanker Traffic Is the Test for Normal Oil Supply,” DHT Holdings (DHT) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: DHT Holdings (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • INSW International Seaways

    International Seaways (INSW) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “Strait of Hormuz Tanker Traffic Is the Test for Normal Oil Supply.” Reason on file: International Seaways (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    For “Strait of Hormuz Tanker Traffic Is the Test for Normal Oil Supply,” Teekay Tankers (TNK) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Teekay Tankers (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    For “Strait of Hormuz Tanker Traffic Is the Test for Normal Oil Supply,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    In “Strait of Hormuz Tanker Traffic Is the Test for Normal Oil Supply,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    In “Strait of Hormuz Tanker Traffic Is the Test for Normal Oil Supply,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Strait of Hormuz Tanker Traffic Is the Test for Normal Oil Supply,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

What Strait of Hormuz means for United States Oil Fund (USO)

“Strait of Hormuz Tanker Traffic Is the Test for Normal Oil Supply” (9 Nov 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Strait of Hormuz.

The link for United States Oil Fund (USO) is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

What this energy story puts on the calendar

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.

How solid the energy case looks

46 out of 100

“Strait of Hormuz Tanker Traffic Is the Test for Normal Oil Supply” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.