Geopolitics Alpha

Tankers defy sharp escalation of Iranian attacks to keep crude oil flowing through Strait of Hormuz

Published . Updated .

ENERGY · STRAIT OF HORMUZTankers defy sharp escalation ofIranian attacks to keep crude oilflowing through Strait of HormuzGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil and tanker shipping. Names like TNK and FRO typically gain because teekay Tankers (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+9.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF+25.1% 18d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+0.3% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “iranian” (defense) in this story.

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    Teekay Tankers (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • FRO Frontline+10.0% 30d

    Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    DHT Holdings (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • INSW International Seaways+3.4% 10d

    International Seaways (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+0.80%-2.73%base+1.27%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE+0.88%-0.71%base+1.35%after closeafter closeafter close
BWETNo price data for this ticker———————
ITANo price data for this ticker———————
TNK-1.93%-3.00%base-1.05%after closeafter closeafter close
FRO-6.45%-4.89%base-0.03%after closeafter closeafter close
DHT-2.07%-3.81%base-0.58%after closeafter closeafter close
INSW-2.50%-1.98%base-2.15%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Tankers defy sharp escalation of Iranian attacks to keep crude oil flowing through Strait of Hormuz CNBC

Source: CNBC

How United States Oil Fund (USO) moved after the last 14 energy shocks

In the last 14 similar stories, United States Oil Fund (USO) moved an average of +4.15% the next day. The best was +6.10% and the worst was -0.66%, from 14 prices.

CompanyWhenAverageLargest gainLargest dropPrices
United States Oil Fund (USO)the next day+4.15%+6.10%-0.66%14
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days later+2.25%+2.58%+0.46%14
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)the next day+2.06%+2.88%-0.41%14
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days later+0.58%+1.30%-0.96%14

The price since 30 Oct 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
DHT Holdings (DHT)that day-0.58%still updating
DHT Holdings (DHT)three days earlier-3.81%final price
DHT Holdings (DHT)five days earlier-2.07%final price
Frontline (FRO)that day-0.03%still updating
Frontline (FRO)three days earlier-4.89%final price
Frontline (FRO)five days earlier-6.45%final price
International Seaways (INSW)that day-2.15%still updating
International Seaways (INSW)three days earlier-1.98%final price
International Seaways (INSW)five days earlier-2.50%final price
Teekay Tankers (TNK)that day-1.05%still updating
Teekay Tankers (TNK)three days earlier-3.00%final price
Teekay Tankers (TNK)five days earlier-1.93%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day+1.27%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-2.73%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier+0.80%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day+1.35%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-0.71%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier+0.88%final price

Where this story sits: Strait of Hormuz

Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitics Alpha has 135 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 385 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “Tankers defy sharp escalation of Iranian attacks to keep crude oil flowing through Strait of Hormuz” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.

Companies in energy around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies that tend to gain

  • TNK Teekay Tankers

    For “Tankers defy sharp escalation of Iranian attacks to keep crude oil flowing through Strait of Hormuz,” Teekay Tankers (TNK) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Teekay Tankers (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • FRO Frontline

    Frontline (FRO) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Tankers defy sharp escalation of Iranian attacks to keep crude oil flowing through Strait of Hormuz.” Reason on file: Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • DHT DHT Holdings

    In “Tankers defy sharp escalation of Iranian attacks to keep crude oil flowing through Strait of Hormuz,” DHT Holdings (DHT) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: DHT Holdings (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • INSW International Seaways

    In “Tankers defy sharp escalation of Iranian attacks to keep crude oil flowing through Strait of Hormuz,” International Seaways (INSW) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: International Seaways (water transportation): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story

No up or down call on file

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Tankers defy sharp escalation of Iranian attacks to keep crude oil flowing through Strait of Hormuz.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “Tankers defy sharp escalation of Iranian attacks to keep crude oil flowing through Strait of Hormuz,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • BWET Amplify Commodity Trust

    Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 30 Oct 2026 story “Tankers defy sharp escalation of Iranian attacks to keep crude oil flowing through Strait of Hormuz.” Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “tanker” (tanker shipping) in this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    In “Tankers defy sharp escalation of Iranian attacks to keep crude oil flowing through Strait of Hormuz,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “iranian” (defense) in this story

From Strait of Hormuz to United States Oil Fund (USO)

United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “Tankers defy sharp escalation of Iranian attacks to keep crude oil flowing through Strait of Hormuz,” the 30 Oct 2026 Strait of Hormuz story.

United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story

BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 17 sessions. The latest close on file is 907.20. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.21. XLE traded between 61.91 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 68.72.

How strong the case is around United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100Price not final

“Tankers defy sharp escalation of Iranian attacks to keep crude oil flowing through Strait of Hormuz” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies. The price is not final yet.