Geopolitics Alpha

Tariffs Challenge Mexico’s U.S. Auto Lead

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Last July, Mexico lost its position as the leading supplier of passenger cars to the United States, being overtaken by Japan and South Korea
  • Exposed: XLI, XRT, CARZ, EWW, CAT
  • Market reaction: XLI +4.2% on the day; XRT +3.7% on the day; CAT +7.1% on the day

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Tariffs Challenge Mexico’s U.S. Auto Lead

Last July, Mexico lost its position as the leading supplier of passenger cars to the United States, being overtaken by Japan and South Korea

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR

    Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • CARZ First Trust S-Network Future Vehicles & Technology ETF

    First Trust S-Network Future Vehicles & Technology ETF: it holds carmakers and parts makers. Linked by “auto” (autos) in this story.

  • EWW iShares MSCI Mexico ETF

    iShares MSCI Mexico ETF holds stocks listed in Mexico, which this story is about (“mexico”).

  • EWY iShares MSCI South Korea ETF

    iShares MSCI South Korea ETF holds stocks listed in South Korea, which this story is about (“south korea”).

  • CAT Caterpillar

    Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • DE Deere

    Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart

    Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
XLI+4.34%+4.15%base+4.24%after closeafter closeafter close
XRT+1.17%+4.73%base+3.68%after closeafter closeafter close
CARZ+10.62%+10.62%base+2.92%after closeafter closeafter close
EWW-1.08%-0.49%base+1.00%after closeafter closeafter close
EWY+10.67%+11.14%base+3.78%after closeafter closeafter close
CAT+9.84%+5.82%base+7.10%after closeafter closeafter close
DE-0.85%+0.44%base+3.33%after closeafter closeafter close
WMT+1.78%+2.99%base+0.11%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Tariffs Challenge Mexico’s U.S. Auto Lead MEXICONOW

Source: MEXICONOW

Price since this story was published: Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
First Tr Exchange-Traded Fd (CARZ)that day+2.92%final price
First Tr Exchange-Traded Fd (CARZ)three days earlier+10.62%final price
First Tr Exchange-Traded Fd (CARZ)five days earlier+10.62%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)that day+7.10%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)three days earlier+5.82%final price
Caterpillar (CAT)five days earlier+9.84%final price
Deere (DE)that day+3.33%final price
Deere (DE)three days earlier+0.44%final price
Deere (DE)five days earlier-0.85%final price
Ishares (EWW)that day+1.00%final price
Ishares (EWW)three days earlier-0.49%final price
Ishares (EWW)five days earlier-1.08%final price
EWYthat day+3.78%final price
EWYthree days earlier+11.14%final price
EWYfive days earlier+10.67%final price
Walmart (WMT)that day+0.11%final price
Walmart (WMT)three days earlier+2.99%final price
Walmart (WMT)five days earlier+1.78%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)that day+4.24%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)three days earlier+4.15%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)five days earlier+4.34%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)that day+3.68%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)three days earlier+4.73%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XRT)five days earlier+1.17%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “Tariffs Challenge Mexico’s U.S. Auto Lead.” Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • XRT Spdr Series Trust

    In “Tariffs Challenge Mexico’s U.S. Auto Lead,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • CARZ First Tr Exchange-Traded Fd

    First Tr Exchange-Traded Fd (CARZ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “Tariffs Challenge Mexico’s U.S. Auto Lead.” Reason on file: First Trust S-Network Future Vehicles & Technology ETF: it holds carmakers and parts makers. Linked by “auto” (autos) in this story

  • EWW Ishares

    For “Tariffs Challenge Mexico’s U.S. Auto Lead,” Ishares (EWW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Mexico ETF holds stocks listed in Mexico, which this story is about (“mexico”)

  • CAT Caterpillar

    Caterpillar (CAT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “Tariffs Challenge Mexico’s U.S. Auto Lead.” Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • DE Deere

    For “Tariffs Challenge Mexico’s U.S. Auto Lead,” Deere (DE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • WMT Walmart

    For “Tariffs Challenge Mexico’s U.S. Auto Lead,” Walmart (WMT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Walmart (variety stores): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

  • NKE Nike

    Nike (NKE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “Tariffs Challenge Mexico’s U.S. Auto Lead.” Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

How “Tariffs Challenge Mexico’s U.S. Auto Lead” reaches Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is the company in “Tariffs Challenge Mexico’s U.S. Auto Lead,” the 9 Nov 2026 this story story.

Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is on the page because Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XRT), is listed for a different reason: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story

Price levels for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.73.

How strong the case is around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)

46 out of 100

“Tariffs Challenge Mexico’s U.S. Auto Lead” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.