The Arab Dark Fleet Keeping Hormuz Oil Flowing
Published . Updated .
This report is about oil and tanker shipping.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- USO United States Oil Fund+4.8% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.5% 30d
Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF+54.8% 19d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+9.0% 13d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+7.9% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- FRO Frontline+0.2% 30d
Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- COP ConocoPhillips+8.3% 30d
ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- DHT DHT Holdings
DHT Holdings (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USO | -2.37% | +3.62% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | -0.12% | +1.60% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BWETNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XOM | -1.00% | +1.85% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | -0.66% | +2.17% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| FRO | -4.64% | -1.64% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| COPNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| DHT | +0.06% | +1.80% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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The Arab Dark Fleet Keeping Hormuz Oil Flowing Windward
Source: Windward
What happened to United States Oil Fund (USO) the last 18 times Strait of Hormuz was in the news
Across 18 earlier stories, United States Oil Fund (USO) the next day averaged +0.16%. The largest gain was +5.29% and the largest drop was -0.68%, from 18 prices.
| Company | When | Average | Largest gain | Largest drop | Prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | the next day | +0.16% | +5.29% | -0.68% | 18 |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days later | +1.80% | +5.37% | +0.46% | 18 |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | the next day | +0.02% | +1.88% | -0.41% | 18 |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days later | -0.08% | +2.40% | -0.96% | 18 |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | the next day | -0.20% | +2.00% | -0.63% | 17 |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days later | +0.18% | +2.80% | -0.46% | 17 |
- Gulf Oil Is Still Flowing Despite a Surge in Attacks on Ships
- What Next for Hormuz LNG? Alternative Scenarios
- Oil slips from five-month high with Hormuz transits in focus
- Iran’s Revolutionary Guard says oil tanker struck mine and caught fire in Strait of Hormuz
- Families of Sailors Killed in Iran War Struggle for Compensation and Closure
- Oil tanker on fire after hitting mine in Hormuz: Iran’s IRGC
How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 28 Oct 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chevron (CVX) | three days earlier | +2.17% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | five days earlier | -0.66% | final price |
| DHT | three days earlier | +1.80% | final price |
| DHT | five days earlier | +0.06% | final price |
| Frontline (FRO) | three days earlier | -1.64% | final price |
| Frontline (FRO) | five days earlier | -4.64% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | +3.62% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | -2.37% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | three days earlier | +1.60% | final price |
| Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) | five days earlier | -0.12% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | +1.85% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | -1.00% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 58 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $250,001 - $500,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 89 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 35 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 56 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 63 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 65 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 68 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Where this story sits: Strait of Hormuz
Geopolitics Alpha has 111 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 314 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “The Arab Dark Fleet Keeping Hormuz Oil Flowing” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.
Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)
Companies tied to this story
- USO United States Oil Fund
In “The Arab Dark Fleet Keeping Hormuz Oil Flowing,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 28 Oct 2026 story “The Arab Dark Fleet Keeping Hormuz Oil Flowing.” Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- BWET Amplify Commodity Trust
In “The Arab Dark Fleet Keeping Hormuz Oil Flowing,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 28 Oct 2026 story “The Arab Dark Fleet Keeping Hormuz Oil Flowing.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
For “The Arab Dark Fleet Keeping Hormuz Oil Flowing,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- COP Conocophillips
In “The Arab Dark Fleet Keeping Hormuz Oil Flowing,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- SHEL Shell
In “The Arab Dark Fleet Keeping Hormuz Oil Flowing,” Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- FRO Frontline
In “The Arab Dark Fleet Keeping Hormuz Oil Flowing,” Frontline (FRO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Frontline (deep sea foreign transportation of freight): tanker owners earn more when more crude has to move by sea. Linked by “oil” (tanker shipping) in this story
How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)
On 28 Oct 2026, “The Arab Dark Fleet Keeping Hormuz Oil Flowing” is the story that connects United States Oil Fund (USO) to Strait of Hormuz.
What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story
BWET traded between 788.51 and 1047.07 across 16 sessions. The latest close on file is 894.54. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 163.62. XLE traded between 61.05 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 68.23.
How strong the case is around United States Oil Fund (USO)
46 out of 100
“The Arab Dark Fleet Keeping Hormuz Oil Flowing” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.