Geopolitics Alpha

The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income

Published . Updated .

GEOPOLITICS ALPHAThe Big Four Recession Indicators:Real Personal IncomeGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about the broad US market.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF-1.7% 30d

    SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “recession” (the broad US market) in this story.

  • QQQ Invesco QQQ-2.6% 30d

    Invesco QQQ: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “recession” (the broad US market) in this story.

  • IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF-2.2% 30d

    iShares Russell 2000 ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “recession” (the broad US market) in this story.

  • RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF

    Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “recession” (the broad US market) in this story.

  • VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF

    Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “recession” (the broad US market) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
DIANo price data for this ticker———————
QQQ+3.12%+5.08%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
IWMNo price data for this ticker———————
RSPNo price data for this ticker———————
VTINo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income Advisor Perspectives

Source: Advisor Perspectives

How far Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA) has moved since 31 Oct 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ)three days earlier+5.08%final price
Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ)five days earlier+3.12%final price

Who gains and who loses around Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA)

Companies mentioned with this story

  • DIA Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust

    For “The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income,” Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “recession” (the broad US market) in this story

  • QQQ Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1

    For “The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income,” Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Invesco QQQ: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “recession” (the broad US market) in this story

  • IWM Ishares Tr

    For “The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income,” Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares Russell 2000 ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “recession” (the broad US market) in this story

  • RSP Invesco Exchange Traded Fd T

    In “The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income,” Invesco Exchange Traded Fd T (RSP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “recession” (the broad US market) in this story

  • VTI Vanguard Index Fds

    In “The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income,” Vanguard Index Fds (VTI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “recession” (the broad US market) in this story

How “The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income” reaches Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA)

On 31 Oct 2026, “The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income” is the story that connects Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA) to this story.

For Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA), the reason on file says SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “recession” (the broad US market) in this story

Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) is here too. Its reason reads: Invesco QQQ: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “recession” (the broad US market) in this story

Dates in the story, and the Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA) price range

DIA traded between 504.92 and 522.62 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 515.65. IWM traded between 269.88 and 285.25 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 279.37. QQQ traded between 683.47 and 762.84 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 690.51.

A simple score for Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA)

40 out of 100

“The Big Four Recession Indicators: Real Personal Income” scores 40 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 5 linked companies.