Geopolitics Alpha

The blue wave is great for stocks

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Democrats dominated the midterms.
  • Exposed: DIA, QQQ, IWM, RSP, VTI
  • Market reaction: DIA +3.0% on the day (still updating); QQQ +1.6% on the day (still updating); VTI +1.8% on the day (still updating)

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The blue wave is great for stocks

Democrats dominated the midterms. Plus, the AI race: U.S. vs. China… Why AAPL and PLTR fell after earnings… Energy prices… Neoclouds… And more.

Directly affected

  • PLTR Palantir Technologies-8.6% 30d

    Named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • QQQ Invesco QQQ-9.8% 30d

    Invesco QQQ: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.

  • AIQ Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF-0.1% 17d

    Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF: it holds the big tech and AI names. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.

  • MSFT Microsoft+4.0% 30d

    Microsoft (prepackaged software): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.

  • GOOGL Alphabet-17.2% 30d

    Alphabet (computer programming, data processing, etc.): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.

  • AMZN Amazon.com+0.5% 30d

    Amazon.com (catalog and mail-order houses): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.

  • META Meta Platforms-16.6% 30d

    Meta Platforms (computer programming, data processing, etc.): big tech's AI spending and demand drive its shares. Linked by “ai” (AI and big tech) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
PLTRNo price data for this ticker———————
QQQ+5.88%+0.76%base+1.62%after closeafter closeafter close
AIQNo price data for this ticker———————
MSFTNo price data for this ticker———————
GOOGLNo price data for this ticker———————
AMZNNo price data for this ticker———————
METANo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

The blue wave is great for stocks Curzio Research

Source: Curzio Research

The price since 4 Nov 2026: Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ)that day+1.62%still updating
Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ)three days earlier+0.76%final price
Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ)five days earlier+5.88%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA)

Companies tied to this story

  • DIA Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust

    For “The blue wave is great for stocks,” Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stocks” (the broad US market) in this story

  • QQQ Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1

    Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “The blue wave is great for stocks.” Reason on file: Invesco QQQ: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stocks” (the broad US market) in this story

  • IWM Ishares Tr

    For “The blue wave is great for stocks,” Ishares Tr (IWM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares Russell 2000 ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stocks” (the broad US market) in this story

  • RSP Invesco Exchange Traded Fd T

    In “The blue wave is great for stocks,” Invesco Exchange Traded Fd T (RSP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stocks” (the broad US market) in this story

  • VTI Vanguard Index Fds

    Vanguard Index Fds (VTI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 4 Nov 2026 story “The blue wave is great for stocks.” Reason on file: Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stocks” (the broad US market) in this story

How “The blue wave is great for stocks” reaches Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA)

The 4 Nov 2026 story “The blue wave is great for stocks” names Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA) because of this story.

For Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA), the reason on file says SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stocks” (the broad US market) in this story

A second company, Invesco Qqq Trust, Series 1 (QQQ), is listed for a different reason: Invesco QQQ: it is a broad US stock-market fund. Linked by “stocks” (the broad US market) in this story

Dates in the story, and the Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA) price range

DIA traded between 504.92 and 522.62 across 18 sessions. The latest close on file is 515.65. IWM traded between 269.88 and 285.25 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 279.20. QQQ traded between 680.34 and 757.18 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 685.32.

What the saved facts support for Spdr Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf Trust (DIA)

40 out of 100Price not final

“The blue wave is great for stocks” scores 40 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 5 linked companies. The price is not final yet.