The Dollar’s Power Never Came From Oil
Published . Updated .
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The emergence of the dollar as the world’s currency was the result of the rise of the US as the preeminent global power. But the slow erosion of US economic and political power will not automatically spell the end of the dollar system.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund+1.9% 30d
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund: it tracks currencies. Linked by “the dollar” (currencies) in this story.
- FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust-0.7% 12d
Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust: it tracks currencies. Linked by “the dollar” (currencies) in this story.
- USO United States Oil Fund-1.1% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings-2.7% 17d
ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- CVX Chevron+3.0% 30d
Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- COP ConocoPhillips+5.4% 19d
ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
- SHEL Shell+2.7% 10d
Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UUP | -0.58% | -0.82% | base | -0.60% | after close | after close | after close |
| FXE | +0.42% | +0.75% | base | +0.66% | after close | after close | after close |
| USO | +5.62% | -2.06% | base | -3.90% | after close | after close | after close |
| XOM | +8.37% | +2.16% | base | -0.67% | after close | after close | after close |
| CVX | +7.15% | +2.05% | base | -1.18% | after close | after close | after close |
| COP | +7.74% | +0.44% | base | -1.29% | after close | after close | after close |
| SHEL | +5.91% | +2.77% | base | -0.22% | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
The Dollar’s Power Never Came From Oil Jacobin
Source: Jacobin
The price since 9 Nov 2026: United States Oil Fund (USO) versus the S&P 500
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conocophillips (COP) | that day | -1.29% | final price |
| Conocophillips (COP) | three days earlier | +0.44% | final price |
| Conocophillips (COP) | five days earlier | +7.74% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | that day | -1.18% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | three days earlier | +2.05% | final price |
| Chevron (CVX) | five days earlier | +7.15% | final price |
| FXE | that day | +0.66% | final price |
| FXE | three days earlier | +0.75% | final price |
| FXE | five days earlier | +0.42% | final price |
| Shell (SHEL) | that day | -0.22% | final price |
| Shell (SHEL) | three days earlier | +2.77% | final price |
| Shell (SHEL) | five days earlier | +5.91% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | that day | -3.90% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | -2.06% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | +5.62% | final price |
| Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) | that day | -0.60% | final price |
| Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) | three days earlier | -0.82% | final price |
| Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) | five days earlier | -0.58% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | that day | -0.67% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | three days earlier | +2.16% | final price |
| ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) | five days earlier | +8.37% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 26 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 70 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Chevron (CVX), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 26 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Chevron (CVX) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 47 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar bought Chevron (CVX), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 2 Sep 2026. That is 68 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 75 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael T. McCaul sold Conocophillips (COP) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 77 days before publication. Filed 14 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Conocophillips (COP), worth $1,000,001 - $5,000,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 80 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who collects and who pays in energy
Companies mentioned with this story
- USO United States Oil Fund
For “The Dollar’s Power Never Came From Oil,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr
In “The Dollar’s Power Never Came From Oil,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
In “The Dollar’s Power Never Came From Oil,” Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund: it tracks currencies. Linked by “the dollar” (currencies) in this story
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “The Dollar’s Power Never Came From Oil.” Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- CVX Chevron
For “The Dollar’s Power Never Came From Oil,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- COP Conocophillips
In “The Dollar’s Power Never Came From Oil,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
- SHEL Shell
Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 9 Nov 2026 story “The Dollar’s Power Never Came From Oil.” Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link
United States Oil Fund (USO) is the company in “The Dollar’s Power Never Came From Oil,” the 9 Nov 2026 Energy story.
What ties United States Oil Fund (USO) to the headline is this: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is here too. Its reason reads: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story
What this energy story puts on the calendar
USO traded between 143.02 and 171.80 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 148.41. UUP traded between 28.86 and 29.23 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 29.14. XLE traded between 63.05 and 70.15 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 66.70.
How solid the energy case looks
46 out of 100
“The Dollar’s Power Never Came From Oil” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 7 linked companies.