Geopolitics Alpha

The Iran war has cost U.S. households nearly $2,000 each. New strikes could keep the bill climbing

Published . Updated .

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The Iran war has cost U.S. households nearly $2,000 each. New strikes could keep the bill climbing

Pentagon data puts U.S. war costs above $47 billion, and Moody’s estimates households have paid nearly $2,000 each. Oil’s post-election drop may not last.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF-4.4% 30d

    SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund-5.0% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • LMT Lockheed Martin+13.5% 30d

    Lockheed Martin (guided missiles and space vehicles and parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • RTX Rtx+2.6% 12d

    Rtx (aircraft engines and engine parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • NOC Northrop Grumman+3.2% 30d

    Northrop Grumman (search, detection, navigation, guidance, aeronautical sys): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • GD General Dynamics+8.5% 30d

    General Dynamics (ship and boat building and repairing): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
ITA+2.67%+5.93%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XAR+6.16%+9.25%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
USO+13.96%+6.75%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWET+38.94%+24.54%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
LMT+10.55%+11.00%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
RTX+4.12%+6.19%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
NOC+6.16%+4.73%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
GD+4.59%+5.00%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

The Iran war has cost U.S. households nearly $2,000 each. New strikes could keep the bill climbing Fortune

Source: Fortune

Defense

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BWETthree days earlier+24.54%final price
BWETfive days earlier+38.94%final price
GDthree days earlier+5.00%final price
GDfive days earlier+4.59%final price
ITAthree days earlier+5.93%final price
ITAfive days earlier+2.67%final price
LMTthree days earlier+11.00%final price
LMTfive days earlier+10.55%final price
NOCthree days earlier+4.73%final price
NOCfive days earlier+6.16%final price
RTXthree days earlier+6.19%final price
RTXfive days earlier+4.12%final price
USOthree days earlier+6.75%final price
USOfive days earlier+13.96%final price
XARthree days earlier+9.25%final price
XARfive days earlier+6.16%final price

Defense

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid the defense case looks

12 out of 100

“The Iran war has cost U.S. households nearly $2,000 each. New strikes could keep the bill climbing” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.