Geopolitics Alpha

The midterms may revive a dying breed: The oil-state Democrat

Published . Updated .

ENERGYThe midterms may revive a dyingbreed: The oil-state DemocratGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about oil.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+4.8% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.5% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+9.0% 13d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+7.9% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+8.3% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+0.1% 13d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-2.37%+3.62%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE-0.12%+1.60%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM-1.00%+1.85%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX-0.66%+2.17%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
COP-1.53%+1.93%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
SHELNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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The midterms may revive a dying breed: The oil-state Democrat Politico

Source: Politico

How far United States Oil Fund (USO) has moved since 28 Oct 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Conocophillips (COP)three days earlier+1.93%final price
Conocophillips (COP)five days earlier-1.53%final price
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier+2.17%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier-0.66%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier+3.62%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-2.37%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier+1.60%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-0.12%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier+1.85%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-1.00%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

Companies carried with this story

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “The midterms may revive a dying breed: The oil-state Democrat,” United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    For “The midterms may revive a dying breed: The oil-state Democrat,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “The midterms may revive a dying breed: The oil-state Democrat,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    For “The midterms may revive a dying breed: The oil-state Democrat,” Chevron (CVX) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • COP Conocophillips

    In “The midterms may revive a dying breed: The oil-state Democrat,” Conocophillips (COP) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

  • SHEL Shell

    Shell (SHEL) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 28 Oct 2026 story “The midterms may revive a dying breed: The oil-state Democrat.” Reason on file: Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

How energy news reaches United States Oil Fund (USO)

“The midterms may revive a dying breed: The oil-state Democrat” (28 Oct 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.

United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

Also listed, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE): Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story

The price range for United States Oil Fund (USO), and the dates in the story

USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 163.62. XLE traded between 61.05 and 69.86 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 68.23. XOM traded between 164.06 and 184.89 across 13 sessions. The latest close on file is 179.88.

What the saved facts support for United States Oil Fund (USO)

46 out of 100

“The midterms may revive a dying breed: The oil-state Democrat” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.