The real pain from rising interest rates is yet to come
Published . Updated .
Covered by 4 outlets: Brisbane Times, SMH.com.au, The Age, WAtoday.
Key takeaways
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The number of borrowers who are behind on their mortgage payments is rising, and it’s likely to climb further as rate hikes bite.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
- XLRE Real Estate Select Sector SPDR
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR: it holds property and homebuilding stocks. Linked by “mortgage” (real estate) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
- DHI D.R. Horton
D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
- SCHW The Charles Schwab
The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story.
- PLD Prologis
Prologis (real estate investment trusts): housing and property firms move with mortgage rates and demand. Linked by “mortgage” (real estate) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | +3.26% | +1.97% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| IEF | +1.94% | +0.99% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLRENo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JPM | -1.26% | -0.84% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BAC | -0.84% | -0.69% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| DHI | +6.91% | +1.29% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| SCHW | -0.25% | -0.20% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| PLDNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
The real pain from rising interest rates is yet to come Brisbane Times
Source: Brisbane Times
Ishares Tr (TLT) since this story, compared with the market
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank Of America (BAC) | three days earlier | -0.69% | final price |
| Bank Of America (BAC) | five days earlier | -0.84% | final price |
| Horton D R (DHI) | three days earlier | +1.29% | final price |
| Horton D R (DHI) | five days earlier | +6.91% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | three days earlier | +0.99% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (IEF) | five days earlier | +1.94% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | three days earlier | -0.84% | final price |
| Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) | five days earlier | -1.26% | final price |
| Schwab Charles (SCHW) | three days earlier | -0.20% | final price |
| Schwab Charles (SCHW) | five days earlier | -0.25% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | three days earlier | +1.97% | final price |
| Ishares Tr (TLT) | five days earlier | +3.26% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman bought Ishares Tr (IEF) (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 67 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 15 Oct 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 8 Oct 2026. That is 38 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 72 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 20 Oct 2026. That is 26 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 13 Oct 2026. That is 33 days before publication. Filed 5 Nov 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 67 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Horton D R (DHI), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 90 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. David J. Taylor bought Prologis (PLD), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 15 Oct 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 29 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Prologis (PLD) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 25 Sep 2026. That is 51 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Prologis (PLD) (held by a dependent child), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 11 Sep 2026. That is 65 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Ishares Tr (TLT)
Companies carried with this story
- TLT Ishares Tr
In “The real pain from rising interest rates is yet to come,” Ishares Tr (TLT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
- IEF Ishares Tr
Ishares Tr (IEF) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 15 Nov 2026 story “The real pain from rising interest rates is yet to come.” Reason on file: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
- JPM Jpmorgan Chase
Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 15 Nov 2026 story “The real pain from rising interest rates is yet to come.” Reason on file: JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
- BAC Bank Of America
In “The real pain from rising interest rates is yet to come,” Bank Of America (BAC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
- DHI Horton D R
For “The real pain from rising interest rates is yet to come,” Horton D R (DHI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
- SCHW Schwab Charles
Schwab Charles (SCHW) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 15 Nov 2026 story “The real pain from rising interest rates is yet to come.” Reason on file: The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
How “The real pain from rising interest rates is yet to come” reaches Ishares Tr (TLT)
Ishares Tr (TLT) is the company in “The real pain from rising interest rates is yet to come,” the 15 Nov 2026 this story story.
For Ishares Tr (TLT), the reason on file says iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
Ishares Tr (IEF) is here too. Its reason reads: iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “interest rates” (US interest rates) in this story
The price range for Ishares Tr (TLT), and the dates in the story
IEF traded between 88.67 and 90.69 across 12 sessions. The latest close on file is 90.08. JPM traded between 325.12 and 345.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 338.00. TLT traded between 76.44 and 80.56 across 12 sessions. The latest close on file is 79.46.
How solid “The real pain from rising interest rates is yet to come” looks
69 out of 100
“The real pain from rising interest rates is yet to come” scores 69 out of 100. The score uses 4 sources, and 6 linked companies.