Timing of next rate hike in question after surprise stall in August GDP
Published . Updated .
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Get these market calls by email
The week's biggest market-moving stories, Congress trades and Trump posts, with the tickers they touch. Free, one email a week.
Free. We only use your email to send the digest, never sell or share it, and every email has a one-click unsubscribe link. See our privacy policy.
This report is about US interest rates.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
- IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.7% 30d
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
- JPM JPMorgan Chase+0.1% 30d
JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
- BAC Bank of America-11.4% 30d
Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
- DHI D.R. Horton+5.0% 30d
D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
- SCHW The Charles Schwab
The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “rate hike” (US interest rates) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | -0.20% | -1.03% | base | -0.17% | -0.93% | after close | after close |
| IEF | -0.69% | -0.98% | base | -0.25% | -0.64% | after close | after close |
| JPM | -0.92% | +0.67% | base | +1.05% | +0.26% | after close | after close |
| BAC | +1.08% | +1.74% | base | -0.89% | -0.71% | after close | after close |
| DHI | +0.34% | -2.12% | base | +4.74% | -0.54% | after close | after close |
| SCHW | +1.96% | +0.85% | base | +0.81% | +1.41% | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Timing of next rate hike in question after surprise stall in August GDP Canadian Underwriter
Source: Canadian Underwriter
This story
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAC | that day | -0.89% | final price |
| BAC | the next day | -0.71% | final price |
| BAC | three days earlier | +1.74% | final price |
| BAC | five days earlier | +1.08% | final price |
| DHI | that day | +4.74% | final price |
| DHI | the next day | -0.54% | final price |
| DHI | three days earlier | -2.12% | final price |
| DHI | five days earlier | +0.34% | final price |
| IEF | that day | -0.25% | final price |
| IEF | the next day | -0.64% | final price |
| IEF | three days earlier | -0.98% | final price |
| IEF | five days earlier | -0.69% | final price |
| JPM | that day | +1.05% | final price |
| JPM | the next day | +0.26% | final price |
| JPM | three days earlier | +0.67% | final price |
| JPM | five days earlier | -0.92% | final price |
| SCHW | that day | +0.81% | final price |
| SCHW | the next day | +1.41% | final price |
| SCHW | three days earlier | +0.85% | final price |
| SCHW | five days earlier | +1.96% | final price |
| TLT | that day | -0.17% | final price |
| TLT | the next day | -0.93% | final price |
| TLT | three days earlier | -1.03% | final price |
| TLT | five days earlier | -0.20% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Sen. John Boozman bought IEF (jointly held), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 52 days before publication. Filed 21 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 57 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse sold Jpmorgan Chase (JPM), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 4 Sep 2026. That is 57 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna bought Jpmorgan Chase (JPM) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 65 days before publication. Filed 4 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Rohit Khanna sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 9 Sep 2026. That is 52 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Laurel Lee sold Bank Of America (BAC) (held by a spouse), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 24 Aug 2026. That is 68 days before publication. Filed 16 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Horton D R (DHI), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Aug 2026. That is 75 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
This story
12 out of 100
“Timing of next rate hike in question after surprise stall in August GDP” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.