Geopolitics Alpha

Tracking Trump: Fed keeps interest rates steady; Iran war cost update; RFK Jr.’s peptide plan; and more

Published . Updated .

DEFENSETracking Trump: Fed keeps interestrates steady; Iran war costupdate; RFK Jr.’s peptide plan;…GEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about US interest rates and defense.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-1.8% 30d

    iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF-0.9% 30d

    iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF: Treasury bond prices move with interest-rate expectations. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF-4.2% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • USO United States Oil Fund+4.8% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.

  • JPM JPMorgan Chase-3.8% 30d

    JPMorgan Chase (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • BAC Bank of America-12.5% 30d

    Bank of America (national commercial banks): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • DHI D.R. Horton+5.5% 30d

    D.R. Horton (operative builders): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

  • SCHW The Charles Schwab

    The Charles Schwab (security brokers, dealers and flotation companies): rate changes move lenders' margins and borrowers' demand. Linked by “fed” (US interest rates) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
TLT+0.89%+0.83%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
IEFNo price data for this ticker———————
ITANo price data for this ticker———————
USO-2.52%-0.26%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
JPMNo price data for this ticker———————
BACNo price data for this ticker———————
DHINo price data for this ticker———————
SCHWNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

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Tracking Trump: Fed keeps interest rates steady; Iran war cost update; RFK Jr.’s peptide plan; and more The Washington Post

Source: The Washington Post

Defense

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
TLTthree days earlier+0.83%final price
TLTfive days earlier+0.89%final price
USOthree days earlier-0.26%final price
USOfive days earlier-2.52%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid the defense case looks

12 out of 100

“Tracking Trump: Fed keeps interest rates steady; Iran war cost update; RFK Jr.’s peptide plan; and more” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.