Geopolitics Alpha

Trump Admits Iran War and Oil Prices Led to Poll Loss, Says ‘Would Do It Again’

Published . Updated .

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Trump Admits Iran War and Oil Prices Led to Poll Loss, Says ‘Would Do It Again’

US President Donald Trump on Wednesday said it was “largely true” that the war in Iran cost the Republicans heavy losses in the midterm election, but struck a defiant note, saying he would do it again as it was the “only answer” in the “long term”.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+6.3% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+6.9% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.1% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d

    Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+2.0% 16d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+9.6% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • OXY Occidental Petroleum+10.3% 18d

    Occidental Petroleum (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+11.1% 19d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO+15.71%+7.84%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XLE+8.14%+5.85%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
ITA+0.76%+0.87%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
BWET+32.30%+28.62%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
XOM+8.08%+6.08%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
CVX+6.66%+5.01%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
OXY+9.89%+5.90%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close
COP+9.55%+7.27%baseafter closeafter closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Trump Admits Iran War and Oil Prices Led to Poll Loss, Says ‘Would Do It Again’ Kashmir Observer

Source: Kashmir Observer

Energy

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
BWETthree days earlier+28.62%final price
BWETfive days earlier+32.30%final price
COPthree days earlier+7.27%final price
COPfive days earlier+9.55%final price
CVXthree days earlier+5.01%final price
CVXfive days earlier+6.66%final price
ITAthree days earlier+0.87%final price
ITAfive days earlier+0.76%final price
OXYthree days earlier+5.90%final price
OXYfive days earlier+9.89%final price
USOthree days earlier+7.84%final price
USOfive days earlier+15.71%final price
XLEthree days earlier+5.85%final price
XLEfive days earlier+8.14%final price
XOMthree days earlier+6.08%final price
XOMfive days earlier+8.08%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

How solid the energy case looks

12 out of 100

“Trump Admits Iran War and Oil Prices Led to Poll Loss, Says ‘Would Do It Again’” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.