Geopolitics Alpha

Trump ignores his own team’s advice, celebrates higher oil prices

Published . Updated .

Trump ignores his own team’s advice, celebrates higher oil prices

The more consumers suffer, the more money oil companies make. The president is celebrating this as part of his closing message ahead of the midterms.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • USO United States Oil Fund+8.2% 30d

    United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+7.4% 30d

    Energy Select Sector SPDR: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF

    SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds retailers. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings+11.0% 11d

    ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • CVX Chevron+9.9% 30d

    Chevron (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • COP ConocoPhillips+11.7% 30d

    ConocoPhillips (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • SHEL Shell+0.1% 13d

    Shell (crude petroleum and natural gas): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “oil” (oil) in this story.

  • WMT Walmart+9.9% 30d

    Walmart (variety stores): retailers move with shopper spending and import costs. Linked by “consumer” (retail and consumer goods) in this story.

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
USO-5.13%-5.78%base-2.94%after closeafter closeafter close
XLE-2.19%-1.69%base-0.41%after closeafter closeafter close
XRTNo price data for this ticker———————
XOM-2.72%-2.80%base-0.51%after closeafter closeafter close
CVX-3.75%-2.77%base-0.81%after closeafter closeafter close
COP-3.70%-3.40%base-0.82%after closeafter closeafter close
SHELNo price data for this ticker———————
WMTNo price data for this ticker———————

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Market Call

Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.

Trump ignores his own team’s advice, celebrates higher oil prices MS NOW

Source: MS NOW

United States Oil Fund (USO) compared with energy stocks (XLE) since 26 Oct 2026

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
COPthat day-0.82%still updating
COPthree days earlier-3.40%final price
COPfive days earlier-3.70%final price
Chevron (CVX)that day-0.81%still updating
Chevron (CVX)three days earlier-2.77%final price
Chevron (CVX)five days earlier-3.75%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)that day-2.94%still updating
United States Oil Fund (USO)three days earlier-5.78%final price
United States Oil Fund (USO)five days earlier-5.13%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)that day-0.41%still updating
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)three days earlier-1.69%final price
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE)five days earlier-2.19%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)that day-0.51%still updating
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)three days earlier-2.80%final price
ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM)five days earlier-2.72%final price

Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story

Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).

Who gains and who loses around United States Oil Fund (USO)

The side that tends to collect

  • USO United States Oil Fund

    In “Trump ignores his own team’s advice, celebrates higher oil prices,” United States Oil Fund (USO) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: This fund moves with oil prices. Linked by “oil price + prices” in this story

  • XLE Select Sector Spdr Tr

    Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Trump ignores his own team’s advice, celebrates higher oil prices.” Reason on file: A fund of energy companies. Linked by “oil price + prices” in this story

  • XOM ExxonMobil Holdings

    In “Trump ignores his own team’s advice, celebrates higher oil prices,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise. Linked by “oil price + prices” in this story

  • CVX Chevron

    Chevron (CVX) tends to benefit, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Trump ignores his own team’s advice, celebrates higher oil prices.” Reason on file: Oil producers earn more when crude prices rise. Linked by “oil price + prices” in this story

No up or down call on file

  • BNO United States Brent Oil Fund

    United States Brent Oil Fund (BNO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Trump ignores his own team’s advice, celebrates higher oil prices.” Reason on file: Tracks Brent, the global crude benchmark. Linked by “oil price + prices” in this story

United States Oil Fund (USO) and the energy link

“Trump ignores his own team’s advice, celebrates higher oil prices” (26 Oct 2026) reaches United States Oil Fund (USO) through Energy.

United States Oil Fund (USO) is on the page because This fund moves with oil prices. Linked by “oil price + prices” in this story

A second company, Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLE), is listed for a different reason: A fund of energy companies. Linked by “oil price + prices” in this story

What this energy story puts on the calendar

BNO traded between 58.70 and 71.28 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 70.98. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 169.55. XLE traded between 60.95 and 69.72 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 69.32.

How strong the case is around United States Oil Fund (USO)

40 out of 100Price not final

“Trump ignores his own team’s advice, celebrates higher oil prices” scores 40 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 5 linked companies. The price is not final yet.