Trump’s Iran War and Tariffs Turn Cost-Of-Living Crisis Into Midterm Risk For Republicans
Published . Updated .
Rising fuel and grocery prices are fuelling voter anger over Trump’s foreign policy, putting Republican control of Congress under pressure ahead of November’s elections.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- FRO Frontline+4.7%
Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike
- INSW International Seaways+0.8%
Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike
- DHT DHT Holdings
Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike
- TNK Teekay Tankers
Tanker operators earn more when freight rates spike
- USO United States Oil Fund+8.2%
Oil prices move when Iranian supply is at risk
- XLE Energy Select Sector SPDR+7.4%
Energy companies move with Iran supply risk
- LMT Lockheed Martin+14.2%
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- RTX RTX-2.2%
Defense contractors get more work when conflict spending rises
- AAPL Apple+4.4%
Sales and supply chains are exposed to a new tariff
- DAL Delta Air Lines-3.8%
Airlines pay more for fuel when oil prices jump
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRO | -4.16% | -3.04% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| INSW | -5.43% | +0.49% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| DHT | -6.23% | -1.71% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| TNK | -4.67% | -3.50% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| USO | -5.13% | -5.78% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| XLE | -2.19% | -1.69% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| LMT | -9.31% | -8.71% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| RTX | +0.57% | +0.33% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| AAPL | -1.35% | -1.08% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| DAL | -2.77% | +1.20% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
Think this story will push the stock up or down over the next three trading days? Make a free call and see what other readers think. Points are play money with no cash value.
Trump’s Iran War and Tariffs Turn Cost-Of-Living Crisis Into Midterm Risk For Republicans Arise News
Source: Arise News
Defense
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | three days earlier | -1.08% | final price |
| AAPL | five days earlier | -1.35% | final price |
| DAL | three days earlier | +1.20% | final price |
| DAL | five days earlier | -2.77% | final price |
| DHT | three days earlier | -1.71% | final price |
| DHT | five days earlier | -6.23% | final price |
| FRO | three days earlier | -3.04% | final price |
| FRO | five days earlier | -4.16% | final price |
| INSW | three days earlier | +0.49% | final price |
| INSW | five days earlier | -5.43% | final price |
| LMT | three days earlier | -8.71% | final price |
| LMT | five days earlier | -9.31% | final price |
| RTX | three days earlier | +0.33% | final price |
| RTX | five days earlier | +0.57% | final price |
| TNK | three days earlier | -3.50% | final price |
| TNK | five days earlier | -4.67% | final price |
| USO | three days earlier | -5.78% | final price |
| USO | five days earlier | -5.13% | final price |
| XLE | three days earlier | -1.69% | final price |
| XLE | five days earlier | -2.19% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 31 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Sep 2026. That is 37 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold Apple (AAPL) (held by a spouse), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 22 Sep 2026. That is 32 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Cleo Fields bought Apple (AAPL), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 8 Sep 2026. That is 46 days before publication. Filed 1 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Apple (AAPL) (held by a dependent child), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 8 Sep 2026. That is 46 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
How solid the defense case looks
12 out of 100
“Trump’s Iran War and Tariffs Turn Cost-Of-Living Crisis Into Midterm Risk For Republicans” scores 12 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources.