Trump’s tariffs promised trouble for China, though Goldman Sachs notes growth of 4.5%
Published . Updated .
Goldman Sachs's Hui Shan noted over the weekend that China’s Q3 real GDP grew 4.5% year-on-year, slightly above the consensus expectation of 4.4%.
Directly affected
- GS Goldman Sachs Group-11.4% 30d
Named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR-3.1% 30d
Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- XRT SPDR S&P Retail ETF
SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- KWEB KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF-6.4% 30d
KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF: it holds Chinese internet companies. Linked by “china” (Chinese tech) in this story.
- SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF-2.5% 30d
VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “china” (semiconductors) in this story.
- FXI iShares China Large-Cap ETF-7.2% 30d
iShares China Large-Cap ETF holds stocks listed in China, which this story is about (“china”).
- CEW WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy Fund
WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy Fund holds emerging-market currencies, which move on news like this from China.
- CAT Caterpillar-12.3% 30d
Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
- DE Deere-5.1% 30d
Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | +0.00% | +3.31% | base | +2.04% | after close | after close | after close |
| XLINo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XRTNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| KWEBNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SMHNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FXINo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CEWNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CATNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| DENo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
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Trump’s tariffs promised trouble for China, though Goldman Sachs notes growth of 4.5% Fortune
Source: Fortune
The price since 26 Oct 2026: Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) versus the S&P 500
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| GS | that day | +2.04% | final price |
| GS | three days earlier | +3.31% | final price |
| GS | five days earlier | 0.00% | final price |
Trades by members of Congress and officials in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar sold Goldman Sachs Group (GS), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 24 Sep 2026. That is 32 days before publication. Filed 7 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Michael Rulli bought Goldman Sachs Group (GS), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 3 Sep 2026. That is 53 days before publication. Filed 2 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros bought Goldman Sachs Group (GS), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 26 Aug 2026. That is 61 days before publication. Filed 10 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Lisa McClain bought Caterpillar (CAT) (held by a spouse), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 28 Sep 2026. That is 28 days before publication. Filed 12 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Caterpillar (CAT), worth $50,001 - $100,000 on 31 Jul 2026. That is 87 days before publication. Filed 22 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, bought Nike (NKE), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 28 Aug 2026. That is 59 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Gilbert Cisneros sold Nike (NKE), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 27 Aug 2026. That is 60 days before publication. Filed 10 Sep 2026. View the filing.
- Donald J Trump, an executive branch official, sold Nike (NKE), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 21 Aug 2026. That is 66 days before publication. Filed 8 Oct 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
Who gains and who loses around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
Companies that tend to pay
- CAT Caterpillar
For “Trump’s tariffs promised trouble for China, though Goldman Sachs notes growth of 4.5%,” Caterpillar (CAT) tends to be hurt, medium confidence. Reason on file: Caterpillar (construction machinery and equip): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- DE Deere
Deere (DE) tends to be hurt, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Trump’s tariffs promised trouble for China, though Goldman Sachs notes growth of 4.5%.” Reason on file: Deere (farm machinery and equipment): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- NKE Nike
Nike (NKE) tends to be hurt, medium confidence in the 26 Oct 2026 story “Trump’s tariffs promised trouble for China, though Goldman Sachs notes growth of 4.5%.” Reason on file: Nike (rubber and plastics footwear): importers and exporters pay or lose sales when tariffs change. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
No up or down call on file
- XLI Select Sector Spdr Tr
In “Trump’s tariffs promised trouble for China, though Goldman Sachs notes growth of 4.5%,” Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- XRT Spdr Series Trust
In “Trump’s tariffs promised trouble for China, though Goldman Sachs notes growth of 4.5%,” Spdr Series Trust (XRT) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
- KWEB Kraneshares Csi China Internet Etf
For “Trump’s tariffs promised trouble for China, though Goldman Sachs notes growth of 4.5%,” Kraneshares Csi China Internet Etf (KWEB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF: it holds Chinese internet companies. Linked by “china” (Chinese tech) in this story
- SMH Vaneck Etf Trust
For “Trump’s tariffs promised trouble for China, though Goldman Sachs notes growth of 4.5%,” Vaneck Etf Trust (SMH) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck Semiconductor ETF: it holds chipmakers. Linked by “china” (semiconductors) in this story
Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
On 26 Oct 2026, “Trump’s tariffs promised trouble for China, though Goldman Sachs notes growth of 4.5%” is the story that connects Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI) to this story.
For Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI), the reason on file says Industrial Select Sector SPDR: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XRT), is listed for a different reason: SPDR S&P Retail ETF: it holds companies hit by import costs and trade rules. Linked by “tariff” (tariffs and trade) in this story
Price levels for Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
KWEB traded between 22.93 and 25.02 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 23.16. XLI traded between 163.00 and 172.33 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 164.61. XRT traded between 83.12 and 86.10 across 2 sessions. The latest close on file is 83.23.
How strong the case is around Select Sector Spdr Tr (XLI)
46 out of 100
“Trump’s tariffs promised trouble for China, though Goldman Sachs notes growth of 4.5%” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 8 linked companies.