Trump says Iran war will end soon, US military insists Hormuz is secure
Published . Updated .
WASHINGTON: President Donald Trump said on Friday that he believed the war with Iran will end soon despite reports that the US and Israel are planning a fresh round or strikes.
Directly affected
- No company is named in this report.
Indirectly affected
- ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+0.3% 30d
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “military” (defense) in this story.
- XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF-1.9% 30d
SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “military” (defense) in this story.
- USO United States Oil Fund+9.3% 30d
United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story.
- BWET Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF-3.3% 17d
Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story.
- EIS iShares MSCI Israel ETF-1.2% 13d
iShares MSCI Israel ETF holds stocks listed in Israel, which this story is about (“israel”).
- LMT Lockheed Martin+20.7% 30d
Lockheed Martin (guided missiles and space vehicles and parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “military” (defense) in this story.
- RTX Rtx+2.1% 10d
Rtx (aircraft engines and engine parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “military” (defense) in this story.
- NOC Northrop Grumman+6.6% 30d
Northrop Grumman (search, detection, navigation, guidance, aeronautical sys): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “military” (defense) in this story.
Price reaction, T-5 to T+3
| Ticker | T-5 | T-3 | T-1 | T0 | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITANo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| XARNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| USO | -1.54% | -1.29% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| BWETNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EISNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| LMT | -0.27% | -1.10% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| RTX | -1.19% | -1.88% | base | after close | after close | after close | after close |
| NOCNo price data for this ticker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.
Market Call
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Trump says Iran war will end soon, US military insists Hormuz is secure アラブニュース
Source: 블루밍비트
13 earlier Strait of Hormuz stories for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)
| Company | When | Average | Largest gain | Largest drop | Prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | the next day | +4.26% | +6.10% | +2.68% | 13 |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days later | +2.41% | +2.58% | +2.22% | 13 |
- Iran Says 7 Oil Tankers Attacked in Strait of Hormuz
- Qatar locks in US LNG through 2054 as it looks beyond Hormuz
- Iran: 7 ships hit in the Strait of Hormuz
- Strait of Hormuz Oil Tankers Hit: New Risks for U.S. Farmers
- Oil shipping through Strait of Hormuz
- Oil prices increase as 7 tankers reported damaged in Hormuz
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) compared with industrial stocks (XLI) since 31 Oct 2026
| Company | When | Move | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lockheed Martin (LMT) | three days earlier | -1.10% | final price |
| Lockheed Martin (LMT) | five days earlier | -0.27% | final price |
| Rtx (RTX) | three days earlier | -1.88% | final price |
| Rtx (RTX) | five days earlier | -1.19% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | three days earlier | -1.29% | final price |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | five days earlier | -1.54% | final price |
Congressional trades in the stocks in this story
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 38 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 23 Sep 2026. That is 38 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold Lockheed Martin (LMT) (jointly held), worth $15,001 - $50,000 on 17 Sep 2026. That is 44 days before publication. Filed 13 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Pete Sessions sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM), worth $1,001 - $15,000 on 14 Oct 2026. That is 17 days before publication. Filed 27 Oct 2026. View the filing.
- Rep. Kevin Hern sold ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) (jointly held), worth $100,001 - $250,000 on 31 Aug 2026. That is 61 days before publication. Filed 25 Sep 2026. View the filing.
Public disclosure filings, not a recommendation. The filing link is the source document. News use of these reports still sits under 5 U.S.C. § 13107(c).
How busy Strait of Hormuz has been lately
Geopolitics Alpha has 153 stories about Strait of Hormuz from the past 7 days and 412 stories from the past 30. That is faster than its usual pace over the past month. “Trump says Iran war will end soon, US military insists Hormuz is secure” is tagged to Strait of Hormuz.
Who gains and who loses around IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)
Likely winners
- LMT Lockheed Martin
For “Trump says Iran war will end soon, US military insists Hormuz is secure,” Lockheed Martin (LMT) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: Lockheed Martin (guided missiles and space vehicles and parts): defense contractors gain when military spending rises. Linked by “military” (defense) in this story
- XOM ExxonMobil Holdings
For “Trump says Iran war will end soon, US military insists Hormuz is secure,” ExxonMobil Holdings (XOM) tends to benefit, medium confidence. Reason on file: ExxonMobil Holdings (petroleum refining): oil producers' profits rise and fall with crude prices. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story
No up or down call on file
- ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
In “Trump says Iran war will end soon, US military insists Hormuz is secure,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “military” (defense) in this story
- XAR Spdr Series Trust
In “Trump says Iran war will end soon, US military insists Hormuz is secure,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “military” (defense) in this story
- USO United States Oil Fund
United States Oil Fund (USO) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 31 Oct 2026 story “Trump says Iran war will end soon, US military insists Hormuz is secure.” Reason on file: United States Oil Fund: its price follows crude oil. Linked by “iran” (oil) in this story
- BWET Amplify Commodity Trust
In “Trump says Iran war will end soon, US military insists Hormuz is secure,” Amplify Commodity Trust (BWET) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF: it tracks tanker freight rates. Linked by “iran” (tanker shipping) in this story
From Strait of Hormuz to IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)
“Trump says Iran war will end soon, US military insists Hormuz is secure” (31 Oct 2026) reaches IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) through Strait of Hormuz.
The link for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is this: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “military” (defense) in this story
A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XAR), is listed for a different reason: SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “military” (defense) in this story
Dates in the story, and the IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) price range
ITA traded between 197.59 and 215.76 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 214.50. USO traded between 141.82 and 169.96 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 168.21. XAR traded between 210.89 and 237.55 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 235.36.
A simple score for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)
54 out of 100
“Trump says Iran war will end soon, US military insists Hormuz is secure” scores 54 out of 100. The score uses 2 sources, and 8 linked companies.