Geopolitics Alpha

Turkey Raises Inflation Forecasts on War, Fund-Rout Effects

Published . Updated .

Key takeaways

  • Exposed: ITA, XAR, TUR, EMB, EMLC
  • Market reaction: ITA −2.2% on the day; XAR −2.1% on the day; EEM −1.5% on the day

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DEFENSETurkey Raises Inflation Forecastson War, Fund-Rout EffectsGEOPOLITICS ALPHA

This report is about defense and Turkey.

Directly affected

  • No company is named in this report.

Indirectly affected

  • ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF+1.2% 30d

    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF-3.5% 30d

    SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story.

  • TUR iShares MSCI Turkey ETF-17.0% 30d

    iShares MSCI Turkey ETF holds stocks listed in Turkey, which this story is about (“turkey”).

  • EMB iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF+0.3% 6d

    iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF holds emerging-market government bonds, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Turkey

  • EMLC VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF-1.6% 30d

    VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF holds emerging-market bonds in local currencies, which move with rate and currency news like this from Turkey.

  • EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF-3.3% 13d

    iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF is a broad fund of emerging-market stocks that includes Turkey

Price reaction, T-5 to T+3

TickerT-5T-3T-1T0T+1T+2T+3
ITA-7.07%-2.20%base-2.16%after closeafter closeafter close
XAR-10.74%-1.42%base-2.06%after closeafter closeafter close
TUR-4.19%+1.13%base+0.30%after closeafter closeafter close
EMB-0.03%+0.53%base-0.81%after closeafter closeafter close
EMLC+0.45%+1.06%base-0.57%after closeafter closeafter close
EEM-6.42%-1.63%base-1.52%after closeafter closeafter close

Closing-price change versus T-1, the last close before the story. T0 to T+3 fill in after each market close. Prices: Alpaca IEX.

Turkey Raises Inflation Forecasts on War, Fund-Rout Effects Bloomberg.com

Source: Bloomberg

The price since 12 Nov 2026: IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) versus the S&P 500

CompanyWhenMoveStatus
Ishares Tr (EEM)that day-1.52%final price
Ishares Tr (EEM)three days earlier-1.63%final price
Ishares Tr (EEM)five days earlier-6.42%final price
Ishares Tr (EMB)that day-0.81%final price
Ishares Tr (EMB)three days earlier+0.53%final price
Ishares Tr (EMB)five days earlier-0.03%final price
Vaneck J. P. Morgan Em Local Currency Bond Etf (EMLC)that day-0.57%final price
Vaneck J. P. Morgan Em Local Currency Bond Etf (EMLC)three days earlier+1.06%final price
Vaneck J. P. Morgan Em Local Currency Bond Etf (EMLC)five days earlier+0.45%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)that day-2.16%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)three days earlier-2.20%final price
IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)five days earlier-7.07%final price
Ishares (TUR)that day+0.30%final price
Ishares (TUR)three days earlier+1.13%final price
Ishares (TUR)five days earlier-4.19%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XAR)that day-2.06%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XAR)three days earlier-1.42%final price
Spdr Series Trust (XAR)five days earlier-10.74%final price

Who collects and who pays in defense

Companies tied to this story

  • ITA IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF

    For “Turkey Raises Inflation Forecasts on War, Fund-Rout Effects,” IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • XAR Spdr Series Trust

    In “Turkey Raises Inflation Forecasts on War, Fund-Rout Effects,” Spdr Series Trust (XAR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

  • TUR Ishares

    Ishares (TUR) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence in the 12 Nov 2026 story “Turkey Raises Inflation Forecasts on War, Fund-Rout Effects.” Reason on file: iShares MSCI Turkey ETF holds stocks listed in Turkey, which this story is about (“turkey”)

  • EMB Ishares Tr

    For “Turkey Raises Inflation Forecasts on War, Fund-Rout Effects,” Ishares Tr (EMB) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF holds emerging-market government bonds, which react to inflation and interest-rate news like this one in Turkey

  • EMLC Vaneck J. P. Morgan Em Local Currency Bond Etf

    In “Turkey Raises Inflation Forecasts on War, Fund-Rout Effects,” Vaneck J. P. Morgan Em Local Currency Bond Etf (EMLC) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF holds emerging-market bonds in local currencies, which move with rate and currency news like this from Turkey

  • EEM Ishares Tr

    In “Turkey Raises Inflation Forecasts on War, Fund-Rout Effects,” Ishares Tr (EEM) is linked, with no stored direction, medium confidence. Reason on file: iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF is a broad fund of emerging-market stocks that includes Turkey

IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) and the defense link

“Turkey Raises Inflation Forecasts on War, Fund-Rout Effects” (12 Nov 2026) reaches IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) through Defense.

For IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA), the reason on file says iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

A second company, Spdr Series Trust (XAR), is listed for a different reason: SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF: it holds defense and aerospace contractors. Linked by “war” (defense) in this story

Price levels for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

ITA traded between 197.59 and 218.73 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 216.38. TUR traded between 29.38 and 34.51 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 30.15. XAR traded between 210.89 and 237.55 across 20 sessions. The latest close on file is 231.04.

A simple score for IShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA)

46 out of 100

“Turkey Raises Inflation Forecasts on War, Fund-Rout Effects” scores 46 out of 100. The score uses 1 sources, and 6 linked companies.